Ponferradina vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
152
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
152
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ,
  • 34', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bicho , Ruiz A. ,
  • 58', Lozano M. 🟨,
  • 59', Samanes S. , Artola J. ,
  • 59', Calderon C. , Pibe ,
  • 61', Lozano M. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 64', Ortega G. , Garcia V. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 76', Sibille K. , Lancho J. ,
  • 76', Ramon A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 76', Doue M. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bustos A. ,
  • 86', Justo M. , Rodri Suarez ,
  • 88', Valle B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Esquerdo V. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.5%
Draw
29.8%
Leonesa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3.19)
    3.15
    (3.32)
    8.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Leonesa?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leonesa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 0:0
    29.10.2023 Ponferradina - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Leonesa
    10.05.2025 Leonesa - Barakaldo 2:1
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation