Ponferradina vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
152
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
152
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ,
  • 34', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bicho , Ruiz A. ,
  • 58', Lozano M. 🟨,
  • 59', Samanes S. , Artola J. ,
  • 59', Calderon C. , Pibe ,
  • 61', Lozano M. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 64', Ortega G. , Garcia V. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 76', Sibille K. , Lancho J. ,
  • 76', Ramon A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 76', Doue M. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bustos A. ,
  • 86', Justo M. , Rodri Suarez ,
  • 88', Valle B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Esquerdo V. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.5%
Draw
29.8%
Leonesa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3.19)
    3.15
    (3.32)
    8.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Leonesa?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Leonesa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 2:0
    18.02.2024 Leonesa - Ponferradina 0:0
    29.10.2023 Ponferradina - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Leonesa
    10.05.2025 Leonesa - Barakaldo 2:1
    03.05.2025 Ourense CF - Leonesa 1:0
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1