Result
2:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (228/312) | 60% (133/222) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.87 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 19 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (228/312) | 60% (133/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 21% (12/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (86/123) | 46% (44/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.09 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 88 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 3.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 1.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Rose D. ⚽,
- 26', Clark M. 🟨,
- 40', Svanthorsson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
- 56', Smith N. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
- 56', Harper R. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 59', Hart S. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
- 62', McEachran G. 🟨,
- 64', Rodgers H. 🟨,
- 68', Vernam C. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 76', Croasdale R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Tolaj L. ⚽,
- 82', Svanthorsson J. ↓, McJannett C. ↑,
- 83', Green K. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
- 88', McEachran G. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Debrah J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
46.5% | Draw
29.2% | Grimsby Town
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Port Vale - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02
(2.02) |
3.22 ↓
(3.42) |
3.86 ↑
(3.59) |
6.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Grimsby Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Grimsby (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Grimsby (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Port Vale (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Port Vale (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Port Vale will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grimsby (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1.
- Port Vale is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Sang T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Injury)
Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Luker J.
(Inactive)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Grimsby Town?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Port Vale?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Grimsby Town were as follows:
29.12.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Port Vale
3:0
21.07.2023
Port Vale
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
