Walsall vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Walsall - Port Vale
Result
2:3
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.271.75
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
59% (167/285)69% (252/367)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.271.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.001.46
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2525
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
59% (167/285)69% (252/367)
Long passes
31% (26/85)34% (26/76)
Passes in final third
52% (59/113)46% (60/131)
Crosses
22% (5/23)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.55
Fouls
1612
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (5/15)
Duels won
6180
Clearances Total
3951
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.462.00
Goals prevented
-1.540.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Allen T. (Pen),
  • 11', 2 - 1, Amantchi L. , McEntee O. (A),
  • 30', Tolaj L. 🟨,
  • 32', Gordon L. 🟨,
  • 36', Kyle John , Hart S. ,
  • 41', 2 - 2, Garrity B. , Tolaj L. (A),
  • 44', Asiimwe N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 3, Tolaj L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Asiimwe N. , Barrett C. ,
  • 46', Weir E. , Hall G. ,
  • 55', Hart S. 🟨,
  • 72', Stockley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 74', Matt J. , Wheatley E. ,
  • 74', Jellis J. , Adomah A. ,
  • 77', Okagbue D. 🟨,
  • 85', Amantchi L. , Johnson D. ,
  • 86', Walters R. , Byers G. ,
  • 86', Tolaj L. , Hackford A. ,
  • 89', McEntee O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
40.1%
Draw
30.9%
Port Vale
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 28% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Walsall - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.1)
    3.04
    (3.41)
    3.25
    (3.33)
    6.3%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 5.
    • Recent matches Walsall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Port Vale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Walsall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.
    • Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Earing J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Inactive) Headley J. (Muscle Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Harrison E. (Injury) Wheatley E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Sang T. (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Walsall won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Port Vale were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Port Vale - Walsall 0:1
    Latest results of Walsall
    01.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Walsall 2:2
    29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0
    13.03.2025 Bromley - Walsall 2:2
    08.03.2025 Walsall - Grimsby Town 1:3
    Latest results of Port Vale
    01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0
    25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League