Result
2:3
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (167/285) | 69% (252/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (167/285) | 69% (252/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/85) | 34% (26/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (59/113) | 46% (60/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.55 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 33% (5/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 80 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 39 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.54 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 4', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Allen T. (Pen),
- 11', 2 - 1, Amantchi L. ⚽, McEntee O. (A),
- 30', Tolaj L. 🟨,
- 32', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 36', Kyle John ↓, Hart S. ↑,
- 41', 2 - 2, Garrity B. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
- 44', Asiimwe N. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 3, Tolaj L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
- 46', Weir E. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
- 55', Hart S. 🟨,
- 72', Stockley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 74', Matt J. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
- 74', Jellis J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
- 77', Okagbue D. 🟨,
- 85', Amantchi L. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 86', Walters R. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
- 86', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 89', McEntee O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Walsall
40.1% | Draw
30.9% | Port Vale
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Walsall - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.1) |
3.04 ↓
(3.41) |
3.25 ↓
(3.33) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Walsall - Port Vale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Walsall (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Walsall (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Port Vale (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Walsall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 5.
- Recent matches Walsall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Port Vale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Walsall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.
- Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Walsall: Earing J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Inactive)
Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
Heneghan B.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P.
(Thigh Injury)
Gordon J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Harrison E.
(Injury)
Wheatley E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Sang T.
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Walsall won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Port Vale?
Walsall has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Walsall?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Port Vale were as follows:
07.12.2024
Port Vale
-
Walsall
0:1
Latest results of Walsall
Latest results of Port Vale
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
