Walsall vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bescot Stadium (Walsall).

League Two - Round 41
Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	1.75
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
59% (167/285)	69% (252/367)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	1.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.00	1.46
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
25	25
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
59% (167/285)	69% (252/367)
Long passes
31% (26/85)	34% (26/76)
Passes in final third
52% (59/113)	46% (60/131)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.55	0.55
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
45% (5/11)	33% (5/15)
Duels won
61	80
Clearances Total
39	51
Interceptions
3	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.46	2.00
Goals prevented
-1.54	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Allen T. (Pen),
11', 2 - 1, Amantchi L. ⚽, McEntee O. (A),
30', Tolaj L. 🟨,
32', Gordon L. 🟨,
36', Kyle John ↓, Hart S. ↑,
41', 2 - 2, Garrity B. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
44', Asiimwe N. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 3, Tolaj L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
46', Weir E. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
55', Hart S. 🟨,
72', Stockley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
74', Matt J. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
74', Jellis J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
77', Okagbue D. 🟨,
85', Amantchi L. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
86', Walters R. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
86', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
89', McEntee O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Walsall
40.1%

Draw
30.9%

Port Vale
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Walsall - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)	3.04 ↓ (3.41)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)	6.3% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 5.
Recent matches Walsall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Port Vale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Walsall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.
Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Walsall: Earing J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Inactive) Headley J. (Muscle Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive)
There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Harrison E. (Injury) Wheatley E. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Sang T. (Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Walsall won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Port Vale?

Walsall has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Walsall?

Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Port Vale were as follows:

07.12.2024 Port Vale - Walsall 0:1

Latest results of Walsall

01.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Walsall 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Bromley - Walsall 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Walsall - Grimsby Town 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League