Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Trasante G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 63', 0 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽,
- 63', Pacifico P. ↓, Agazzi L. ↑,
- 63', Barco A. ↓, Amaro M. ↑,
- 64', Prieto K. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
- 67', Gonzalez N. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
- 67', Soria A. ↓, Dudok R. ↑,
- 73', Montoya W. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez N. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 81', Pinheiro A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
- 82', Trasante G. ↓, Asconeguy D. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Moreira A. ⚽,
- 84', Amaro M. 🟨,
- 85', Colombino A. 🟨,
- 89', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Gomez M. (Pen),
- 90+3', Gomez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
60.5% | Draw
23.7% | Progreso
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Defensor Sporting - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.65) |
3.96 ↑
(3.66) |
5.85 ↑
(5.02) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Progreso?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Defensor Sporting will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 3.
- Defensor Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Progreso is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Defensor Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29:18 (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Progreso?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Defensor Sporting?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Progreso were as follows:
13.11.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
3:0
15.06.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
1:1
12.05.2024
Progreso
-
Defensor Sporting
1:4
03.11.2022
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
3:1
26.10.2022
Progreso
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Torneo IntermedioGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | River Plate | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Juventud | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Miramar | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Defensor Sporting - Progreso?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
