Progreso vs Defensor Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Abreu D. ,
  • 22', Cougo A. 🟨,
  • 26', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ,
  • 44', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lozano B. , Wunsch N. ,
  • 46', Furtado N. , Torterolo A. ,
  • 54', Sena N. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Abreu D. ,
  • 65', De los Santos G. 🟨,
  • 65', Wunsch N. 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez N. , Lopez P. ,
  • 73', Machado A. , Cambon A. ,
  • 73', Pacifico P. , Saravia M. ,
  • 80', Lopez F. , Lopez N. ,
  • 80', Silva G. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 82', Silva G. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 82', Trasante G. , Sosa F. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Wunsch N. (Own goal),
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Cambon A. ,

Chances of winning


Progreso
30.3%
Draw
29.5%
Defensor Sporting
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.2% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 29.3% 39.7%

Progreso - Defensor Sporting Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.12
(2.74)
3.15
(3.25)
2.33
(2.4)
6.7%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
  • Progreso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • In recent matches, Defensor Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1.3:1.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.3:2.3).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
20.04.2025 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 1:2
13.11.2024 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 3:0
15.06.2024 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 1:1
12.05.2024 Progreso - Defensor Sporting 1:4
03.11.2022 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 3:1
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Draw
Play Offs

Semi-finals
1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
2ByeNacional

Final
1PenarolNacional0 : 1, 2 : 2