Progreso vs Plaza Colonia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - Plaza Colonia
Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
uruguayUruguayVTV+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
95
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
95
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lopez P. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 46', Trasante G. 🟨,
  • 59', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 67', Carrizo L. , Barros C. ,
  • 67', Piriz F. , Villalba D. ,
  • 67', 0 - 1, Diogo Oliveira ,
  • 70', Pablo Garcia 🟨,
  • 71', Ordonez C. , Silvera F. ,
  • 71', Fernandez E. , Sosa F. ,
  • 73', Pablo Garcia , Redin M. ,
  • 82', Ebere C. , Alex Bruno ,
  • 83', Diogo Oliveira , Ocampo A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Fernandez N. ,
  • 85', Pinheiro A. , Viera M. ,
  • 90+4', Redin M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Calleros Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
31.8%
Draw
29.2%
Plaza Colonia
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 28.2% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Progreso - Plaza Colonia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.8)
    3.15
    (3.25)
    2.39
    (2.4)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Progreso won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1