Plaza Colonia vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
10/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
74
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lopez F. ,
  • 26', Lorenzi M. 🟨,
  • 31', Paolini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba D. , Maidana A. ,
  • 49', De Los Santos M. 🟨,
  • 51', Maidana A. 🟨,
  • 60', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
  • 61', De Los Santos M. , Garcia A. ,
  • 61', Silva G. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 65', Pachame S. , Redin M. ,
  • 65', Maidana A. , Barros C. ,
  • 75', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 84', Wurth V. , Cayetano A. ,
  • 84', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 84', Silva G. , Carroso H. ,

Chances of winning


Plaza Colonia
39.5%
Draw
30.3%
Progreso
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 29.1% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.4% 28.4%

Plaza Colonia - Progreso Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.35
(2.19)
3.08
(3.18)
3.05
(3.23)
7.8%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Progreso will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Progreso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Plaza Colonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Progreso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Progreso were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Progreso - Plaza Colonia 1:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Latest results of Progreso
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional0 : 1, 2 : 2