Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 32
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Latvia | Best4Sport |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (246/318) | 83% (319/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (246/318) | 83% (319/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 29% (10/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (52/82) | 72% (83/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Tudor F. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Lopez I. ⚽,
- 30', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Tudor F. 🟨,
- 61', Flach L. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
- 65', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
- 72', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 73', Silva J. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 75', Imaz J. 🟨,
- 79', Villar Miki ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 87', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 90+1', Barath P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arsenic Z. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 90+5', Pululu A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
54.5% | Draw
24.9% | Jagiellonia Białystok
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
3.79 ↑
(3.77) |
4.6 ↑
(4.36) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
- Raków is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jagiellonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Muscle Injury)
Racovitan B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Moutinho J.
(Yellow Cards)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Ebosse E.
(Inactive)
Flach L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Raków won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Raków Częstochowa?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
10.11.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:2
10.12.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Raków Częstochowa
4:2
22.07.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:0
24.02.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Termalica B-B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
