Jagiellonia Białystok vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chorten Arena (Bialystok).

Ekstraklasa - Round 14
Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	0.99
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
26	10
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
84% (418/500)	72% (179/249)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	1.40
Total shots
26	10
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
11	2
Shots inside the Box
17	7
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
38	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
17	19
Passes
84% (418/500)	72% (179/249)
Long passes
56% (22/39)	47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
76% (125/165)	58% (59/102)
Crosses
48% (11/23)	55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.83	0.93
Throw-ins
10	3
Fouls
19	17
Tackles
40% (6/15)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
55	56
Clearances
15	28
Interceptions
1	15
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.40	1.58
Goals prevented
-0.60	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Repka O. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Repka O. ⚽,
55', Silva J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
73', Barath P. 🟨,
74', Pelmard A. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
74', Lozano S. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Pululu A. ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
81', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
83', Pozo A. 🟨,
83', Makuch P. 🟨,
84', Pululu A. 🟨,
86', Pienko T. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
86', Brunes J. ↓, Adriano ↑,
88', Pozo A. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
90+5', Jozwiak K. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
90+7', Repka O. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
90+7', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
90+17', Flach L. 🟨,
90+21', Vital B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jagiellonia Białystok
40.3%

Draw
27.7%

Raków Częstochowa
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.4%

40%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.73)	3.39 ↓ (3.64)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)	6.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Raków will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 41.5% – 84.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Abramowicz S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A. (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Raków Częstochowa?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

10.05.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2

10.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 2:2

10.12.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 4:2

22.07.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:0

24.02.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 1:2

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

30.10.2025 Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:3 ✺

26.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺

23.10.2025 Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia 4:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

29.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia 3:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

23.10.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa 2:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin 2:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	18	9	3	6	29:24	5	30
2	Wisla Plock	17	7	8	2	20:11	9	29
3	Rakow	17	9	2	6	26:22	4	29
4	Jagiellonia	16	8	4	4	28:20	8	28
5	Cracovia	18	7	6	5	25:21	4	27
6	Radomiak Radom	18	7	5	6	35:30	5	26
7	Lech Poznan	17	6	8	3	29:26	3	26
8	Zaglebie	17	6	7	4	30:24	6	25
9	Korona Kielce	17	6	5	6	20:18	2	23
10	Pogon Szczecin	18	6	3	9	28:32	-4	21
11	Arka Gdynia	18	6	3	9	15:32	-17	21
12	Lechia Gdansk	18	7	4	7	37:37	0	20
13	Widzew Lodz	18	6	2	10	26:28	-2	20
14	GKS Katowice	17	6	2	9	23:28	-5	20
15	Motor Lublin	17	4	8	5	22:27	-5	20
16	Legia	17	4	7	6	19:20	-1	19
17	Termalica B-B	18	5	4	9	24:35	-11	19
18	Piast Gliwice	16	4	5	7	18:19	-1	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1