Real Sociedad B vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
21/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.34
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
72% (252/350)79% (328/416)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.042.66
Total shots
819
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2434
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
72% (252/350)79% (328/416)
Long passes
39% (27/69)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
50% (50/101)68% (86/126)
Crosses
31% (5/16)38% (11/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.54
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1614
Tackles
36% (4/11)65% (17/26)
Duels won
4963
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.661.04
Goals prevented
-0.340.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Marchal A. , Mariezkurrena A. (A),
  • 15', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 40', Kita K. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Zalazar K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Kone K. , Youness (A),
  • 55', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 58', Eceizabarrena J. , Diaz D. ,
  • 59', Marchal A. , Ochieng J. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez M. , Gorosabel G. ,
  • 61', Ochieng J. 🟨,
  • 67', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 69', Aguirre I. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Jamelli (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Zalazar K. , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 74', Balda J. 🟨,
  • 76', Mariezkurrena A. , Gorosabel J. ,
  • 78', Obeng S. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 79', Ahmed A. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 81', Youness 🟨,
  • 82', Garro J. , Dadie Izagirre A. ,
  • 89', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 90', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 90+1', Matos Jose , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 90+2', Kone K. , Sanchez S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2a7m3a

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad B
33.6%
Draw
31.9%
Ceuta
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.7% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 30.6% 37.7%

Real Sociedad B - Ceuta Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.79
(2.77)
2.92
(3.14)
2.71
(2.54)
6.9%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Ceuta will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 13.8%61.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Carrera G. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Fernandez Sanchez M. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Latest results of Ceuta
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1
    07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1
    02.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Ceuta 1:0
    29.11.2025 Ceuta - Burgos 1:0
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

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