Result
1:2
13/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 16
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (238/319) | 83% (384/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (238/319) | 83% (384/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/94) | 71% (62/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', Marras M. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Sgarbi F. ⚽, Capelli A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Reinhart T. ⚽,
- 57', Barreca A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 59', Harder J. 🟨,
- 70', Tavsan E. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 74', Marras M. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
- 74', Papu Gomez ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Seghetti A. ⚽,
- 83', Perrotta M. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
- 84', Varas K. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
- 85', Crisetig L. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
- 85', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 86', Gondo C. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
- 88', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 89', Faedo C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Baselli D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reggiana
42.2% | Draw
31.4% | Padova
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Reggiana - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.35) |
2.98 ↓
(3.18) |
3.56 ↑
(3.02) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Padova?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Padova will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Padova (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Reggiana could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Basili D.
(Inactive)
Charlys
(Red Card)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Saro G.
(Inactive)
Tripaldelli A.
(Inactive)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Boi A.
(Inactive)
Di Maggio L.
(Injury)
Fusi P.
(Yellow Cards)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Health problems)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Padova?
Reggiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Reggiana?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Padova were as follows:
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
