Result
1:1
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (218/295) | 82% (384/468) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (218/295) | 82% (384/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 47% (34/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (47/85) | 54% (43/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Balde I. ⚽, Saka M. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Danger B. ⚽, Haag G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Trani G. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 57', Durand D. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 60', Jolibois C. 🟨,
- 65', Saka M. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
- 65', Benchamma S. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 71', Arconte T. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 72', Ba P. M. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 72', Sylla D. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
- 84', Younoussa W. 🟨,
- 87', Balde I. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
- 88', Mendes J. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rodez
34% | Draw
28.1% | Red Star
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Rodez - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.37) |
3.33 ↓
(3.34) |
2.47 ↓
(2.75) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rodez - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 54.5%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Rodez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Red Star has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Rodez: Margueron L.
(Injury)
Ponti R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Cabral K.
(Red Card)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Red Star: Lemonnier P.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Red Star?
Rodez has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Rodez?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Red Star were as follows:
04.10.2025
Red Star
-
Rodez
1:1
28.03.2025
Red Star
-
Rodez
1:1
03.01.2025
Rodez
-
Red Star
0:2
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
