Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (425/493) | 73% (187/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (425/493) | 73% (187/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (97/132) | 55% (42/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 33% (5/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Jean-Lambert E. 🟨,
- 30', Magnin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Danger B. 🟨,
- 49', 0 - 1, Nagera K. ⚽,
- 66', Durand D. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 67', Ikanga J. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Cisse K. ⚽, Durivaux D. (A),
- 74', Arconte T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 74', Joly O. ↓, Achi M. ↑,
- 76', Galves N. 🟨,
- 79', Cabral K. 🟨,
- 85', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 86', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 87', Nagera K. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 87', Galves N. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Star
48.3% | Draw
26.8% | Rodez
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Star - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.26) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
3.76 ↑
(3.09) |
6.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Red Star - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rodez will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- Red Star is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rodez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rodez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Red Star will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Injury)
Hachem A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rodez: Crombez E.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Inactive)
Trouillet A.
(Inactive)
Vangi D.
(Inactive)
Younoussa W.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Rodez?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Red Star?
Rodez has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Rodez were as follows:
28.03.2025
Red Star
-
Rodez
1:1
03.01.2025
Rodez
-
Red Star
0:2
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Clermont | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
