Stevenage Borough vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 45
Referee: Davies A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.92
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
65% (186/288)	67% (204/305)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.14
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
28	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
65% (186/288)	67% (204/305)
Long passes
30% (17/56)	30% (22/74)
Passes in final third
56% (71/126)	37% (26/71)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.77
Throw-ins
26	30
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
40% (6/15)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
67	53
Clearances
20	48
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.14	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.86	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Nombe S. ⚽, Odoffin H. (A),
22', Nombe S. ↓, Clarke-Harris J. ↑,
26', Thompson L. ↓, King E. ↑,
30', Rafferty J. 🟨,
35', Kelly L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Edwards K. ↓, Young J. ↑,
46', Reid J. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
46', List E. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
66', Sibley L. ↓, Gore D. ↑,
66', Kelly L. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
83', Wilks M. ↓, Kayode J. ↑,
86', Piergianni C. 🟨,
89', Freestone L. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Sweeney D. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
43.9%

Draw
28.5%

Rotherham United
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Stevenage Borough - Rotherham United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.28)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)	3.43 ↑ (3.04)	5.9% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Rotherham United?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Rotherham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Stevenage will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Cooper M. (Inactive) Kemp D. (Inactive) Smith K. (Injury)
There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D. (Leg Injury) Green A. (Inactive) Jules Z. (Injury) MacDonald A. (Hip Injury) Raggett S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Forster-Caskey J. (Injury) Freeman N. (Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.8:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Rotherham United?

Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Stevenage Borough?

Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Rotherham United were as follows:

26.10.2024 Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough 2:0

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

24.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Blackpool 1:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Rotherham United

21.04.2025 Wigan Athletic - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Rotherham United - Mansfield Town 3:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Stockport County - Rotherham United 3:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Rotherham United - Blackpool 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

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      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two