Rotherham United vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham).

League One - Round 41
Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	0.81
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
1	3
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
68% (219/324)	63% (210/331)
Yellow cards
3	4
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	0.36
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
20	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
17	10
Passes
68% (219/324)	63% (210/331)
Long passes
40% (29/72)	32% (27/84)
Passes in final third
62% (61/99)	54% (64/118)
Crosses
22% (6/27)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	1.15
Throw ins
32	26
Fouls
10	17
Tackles
60% (6/10)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
51	53
Clearances
20	23
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.36	0.01
Goals prevented
0.36	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Phillips D. 🟨,
16', James-Wildin L. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
45+3', Freestone L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Gore D. 🟨,
55', Holmes J. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
62', James R. 🟨,
67', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
67', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
75', Agbaire L. ↓, Baptiste J. ↑,
81', Roberts J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
88', Gore D. 🟨,
90+1', Watmore D. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
90+1', Goode C. 🟨,
90+4', White H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Rotherham United
24.6%

Draw
30.4%

Stevenage Borough
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.16)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	2.1 ↓ (2.33)	6.5% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 29.6% – 90.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.
Rotherham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Stevenage has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Stevenage will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Hall D. (Hamstring Injury) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Spence K. (Knee Injury) Yearwood D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Ankle Injury) Simpson T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: McWilliams S. (Inactive) Powell J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Earley S. (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Stevenage Borough?

Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Rotherham United?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

09.08.2025 Stevenage Borough - Rotherham United 1:0

27.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Rotherham United 1:1

26.10.2024 Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough 2:0

Latest results of Rotherham United

21.03.2026 Lincoln City - Rotherham United 3:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Peterborough United - Rotherham United 5:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Rotherham United - Mansfield Town 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

21.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - Reading 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship