Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco
61% | Draw
24.3% | Samora Correia
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
SB Castelo Branco - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.54) |
3.71 ↓
(3.78) |
6.15 ↑
(5.56) |
10.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samora Correia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SB Castelo Branco is a strong favorite.
- We predict that SB Castelo Branco will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, SB Castelo Branco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Samora Correia?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against SB Castelo Branco?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Samora Correia were as follows:
14.12.2025
Samora Correia
-
SB Castelo Branco
0:1
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
