Houston Dynamo vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Houston Dynamo - San Diego
Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.452.25
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
78% (222/285)86% (478/557)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.452.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.263.24
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1719
Passes
78% (222/285)86% (478/557)
Long passes
43% (19/44)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
63% (35/56)71% (102/143)
Crosses
17% (2/12)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.18
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
1917
Tackles
90% (9/10)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
917
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.242.26
Goals prevented
-0.760.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Felipe Andrade , Junior Urso (A),
  • 39', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Negri F. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Lozano H. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Dreyer A. (Pen),
  • 67', Holmes D. , Bassi A. ,
  • 75', Baird C. , Mighten A. ,
  • 77', Godoy A. 🟨,
  • 78', Harangi A. 🟨,
  • 80', Junior Urso , Sergio Santos ,
  • 83', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 84', Godoy A. , de la Torre L. ,
  • 84', Harangi A. , Kumado W. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, de la Torre L. , Pellegrino A. (A), Kumado W. (A2)
  • 87', 2 - 2, Sergio Santos , Ennali L. (A),
  • 87', Lingr O. , Segal G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Dreyer A. , Pellegrino A. (A), de la Torre L. (A2)
  • 90+1', Dreyer A. , McNair P. ,
  • 90+1', Ennali L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Felipe Andrade , Awodesu F. ,
  • 90+13', 2 - 4, Pellegrino A. , Tverskov J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
35.1%
Draw
25.6%
San Diego
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 25.2% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 25.1% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The chances for San Diego have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Houston Dynamo - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.64)
    3.7
    (3.73)
    2.44
    (2.39)
    5.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Houston: Escobar F. (Illness) Quinones N. (Lower-Body Injury) Raines B. (International duty) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Red Card) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Bombino L. (International duty) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Saidi A. (Lower-Body Injury) Soma P. (International duty) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Diego were as follows:
    05.07.2025 San Diego - Houston Dynamo 3:4
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 34196964:412363
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 34189766:382863
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 34179865:402560
    4Minnesota United ✔ 341610856:391758
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 341510958:481055
    6Austin FC341381337:45-847
    7FC Dallas3411111252:55-344
    8Portland Timbers3411111241:48-744
    9Real Salt Lake341251738:49-1141
    10San Jose Earthquakes341181560:63-341
    11Colorado Rapids341181544:56-1241
    12Houston Dynamo349101543:56-1337
    13St. Louis City34881844:58-1432
    14Los Angeles Galaxy34791846:66-2030
    15Sporting Kansas City34772046:70-2428


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 34206857:352266
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 34205952:401265
    3Inter Miami ✔ 34198781:552665
    4Charlotte ✔ 341921355:46959
    5New York City ✔ 341751250:44656
    6Nashville SC341661258:451354
    7Columbus Crew341412855:51454
    8Chicago Fire341581168:60853
    9Orlando City341411963:511253
    10New York Red Bulls341271548:47143
    11New England Revolution34991644:51-736
    12Toronto FC346141437:44-732
    13CF Montreal346101834:60-2628
    14Atlanta Utd345131638:63-2528
    15DC United345111830:66-3626

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)