San Diego vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Diego - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:4
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.722.92
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
158
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Long passes
60% (25/42)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
79% (125/159)69% (70/101)
Crosses
17% (4/23)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.220.74
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
815
Tackles
71% (17/24)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5037
Clearances
940
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.921.72
Goals prevented
-1.08-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Iloski M. , Valakari O. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 36', 1 - 1, Ennali L. , Bassi A. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Escobar F. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Bombino L. , Tverskov J. (A), Valakari O. (A2)
  • 56', Mighten A. , Lozano H. ,
  • 56', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 58', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 62', Bartlow E. 🟨,
  • 63', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Valakari O. ,
  • 76', Lingr O. , Duenas E. ,
  • 84', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Ponce E. (Pen),
  • 90', Godoy A. , Angel T. ,
  • 90+1', Bassi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Holmes D. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 4, Ponce E. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 90+14', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Bassi A. , Dorsey G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
58.6%
Draw
22.3%
Houston Dynamo
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • San Diego - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.72)
    4.25
    (4.04)
    4.96
    (4.58)
    5.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for San Diego - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • San Diego is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNair P. (Lower-Body Injury) de la Torre L. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144749:321746
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    3Nashville SC25145642:271547
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7New York City24115834:29538
    8Charlotte241121141:39235
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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