Result
3:4
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (527/598) | 85% (358/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (527/598) | 85% (358/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (125/159) | 69% (70/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 25', 1 - 0, Iloski M. ⚽, Valakari O. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
- 36', 1 - 1, Ennali L. ⚽, Bassi A. (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Escobar F. ⚽, Bartlow E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 2, Bombino L. ⚽, Tverskov J. (A), Valakari O. (A2)
- 56', Mighten A. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
- 56', McNair P. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
- 58', Raines B. 🟨,
- 62', Bartlow E. 🟨,
- 63', Ennali L. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Valakari O. ⚽,
- 76', Lingr O. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
- 84', Valakari O. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 3, Ponce E. (Pen),
- 90', Godoy A. ↓, Angel T. ↑,
- 90+1', Bassi A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Holmes D. 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 4, Ponce E. ⚽, Bartlow E. (A),
- 90+14', Duenas E. 🟨,
- 90+15', Bassi A. ↓, Dorsey G. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego
58.6% | Draw
22.3% | Houston Dynamo
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
San Diego - Houston Dynamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.72) |
4.25 ↑
(4.04) |
4.96 ↑
(4.58) |
5.4%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Houston Dynamo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- San Diego is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
- In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Injury)
Diop H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNair P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
de la Torre L.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J.
(International duty)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Houston: Steres D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Houston Dynamo?
San Diego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against San Diego?
Houston Dynamo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 50:32 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:37 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 19 |
| 15 | DC United | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 19 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
