Houston Dynamo vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.452.25
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
78% (222/285)86% (478/557)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.452.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.263.24
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1719
Passes
78% (222/285)86% (478/557)
Long passes
43% (19/44)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
63% (35/56)71% (102/143)
Crosses
17% (2/12)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.18
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
1917
Tackles
90% (9/10)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
917
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.242.26
Goals prevented
-0.760.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Felipe Andrade , Junior Urso (A),
  • 39', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Negri F. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Lozano H. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Dreyer A. (Pen),
  • 67', Holmes D. , Bassi A. ,
  • 75', Baird C. , Mighten A. ,
  • 77', Godoy A. 🟨,
  • 78', Harangi A. 🟨,
  • 80', Junior Urso , Sergio Santos ,
  • 83', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 84', Godoy A. , de la Torre L. ,
  • 84', Harangi A. , Kumado W. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, de la Torre L. , Pellegrino A. (A), Kumado W. (A2)
  • 87', 2 - 2, Sergio Santos , Ennali L. (A),
  • 87', Lingr O. , Segal G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Dreyer A. , Pellegrino A. (A), de la Torre L. (A2)
  • 90+1', Dreyer A. , McNair P. ,
  • 90+1', Ennali L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Felipe Andrade , Awodesu F. ,
  • 90+13', 2 - 4, Pellegrino A. , Tverskov J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
35.1%
Draw
25.6%
San Diego
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 25.2% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 25.1% 39.4%

Houston Dynamo - San Diego Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.71
(2.64)
3.7
(3.73)
2.44
(2.39)
5.1%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 50%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Houston (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - San Diego (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 50%). San Diego (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Houston: Escobar F. (Illness) Quinones N. (Lower-Body Injury) Raines B. (International duty) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Red Card) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Bombino L. (International duty) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Saidi A. (Lower-Body Injury) Soma P. (International duty) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Diego were as follows:
    05.07.2025 San Diego - Houston Dynamo 3:4
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)