Result
02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Venne M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | RDS App, RDS, TSN 3, TSN 4 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
28% | Draw
26.1% | San Jose Earthquakes
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Jose Earthquakes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.46) |
3.59 ↑
(3.52) |
2.07 ↓
(2.63) |
5.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - San Jose Earthquakes?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Jose is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T.
(Knee Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Laryea R.
(Injury)
Matheus Pereira
(Groin Injury)
Mihailovic D.
(Pelvis Injury)
Wingo H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Kerr D.
(Groin Injury)
Nolan J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in San Jose: Werner T.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Toronto FC?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
25.03.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Toronto FC
0:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
