Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima).

J1 League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	1.10
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
71% (222/313)	78% (341/435)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.36	0.63
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
8	8
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
4	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
24	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	17
Passes
71% (222/313)	78% (341/435)
Long passes
28% (14/50)	30% (13/43)
Passes in final third
61% (69/114)	68% (73/108)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.35	0.49
Throw-ins
22	16
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
48% (10/21)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
59	58
Clearances
28	23
Interceptions
10	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.63	0.36
Goals prevented
0.63	0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
46', Kato M. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
49:18, (Pen),
57', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
57', Yamahara R. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
60', Kawabe H. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
64', Capixaba 🟨,
70', Takahashi T. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
70', Capixaba ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
70', Kinoshita K. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
83', Tanaka S. ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
84', Takagi S. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57.9%

Draw
24.3%

Shimizu S-Pulse
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Shimizu S-Pulse aligns with the current prediction.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	3.87 ↑ (3.63)	5.27 ↑ (5.13)	6.4% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 42% – 87.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
Hiroshima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Shimizu: Uno Z. (Injury)
We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:19. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0

26.02.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

03.09.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:0

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fujieda MYFC 5:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC 2:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

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