Result
1:2
29/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (255/345) | 83% (382/463) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (255/345) | 83% (382/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/69) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/113) | 70% (105/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Sumiyoshi J. 🟥,
- 21', 1 - 0, Shimamoto Y. ⚽,
- 27', Yamada R. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Thiago ⚽, Arai I. (A),
- 36', Onaga H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kozuka K. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ⚽, Dudu Giusti (A),
- 61', Yamada R. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 61', Dudu Giusti ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 63', Yumiba M. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
- 70', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
- 72', Thiago ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 83', Hidaka H. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
- 83', Park Seung-Wook ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Yoneda S. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
- 90+3', Matsumoto T. ↓, Sawada T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
49.3% | Draw
27.7% | V-Varen Nagasaki
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimizu S-Pulse's performance.V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and V-Varen Nagasaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimizu S-Pulse that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that V-Varen Nagasaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.29) |
3.39 ↑
(3.27) |
4.04 ↑
(3.06) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 2.
- Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- V-Varen Nagasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- V-Varen Nagasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Capixaba
(Injury)
Kitagawa K.
(Injury)
Matsuzaki K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
05.04.2026
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
0:3
07.09.2024
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
V-Varen Nagasaki
1:1
10.03.2024
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
4:1
01.07.2023
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
V-Varen Nagasaki
3:2
04.03.2023
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:1
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
