Result
2:4
31/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/322) | 80% (229/288) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 3.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/322) | 80% (229/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/77) | 73% (62/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.39 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 31', Diogo Calila 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Venancio F. 🟨,
- 39', Ferreira P. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Marques A. ⚽, Pizzi (A),
- 45+4', Amaral P. 🟨,
- 45+4', Brenner 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 46', Brenner ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 46', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Diogo Calila ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 54', Robles J. 🟨,
- 56', Serginho 🟨,
- 60', Boma K. 🟨,
- 61', Pizzi ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 61', Amaral P. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Gabriel Silva ⚽, Welinton Torrao (A),
- 73', Silva H. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 3, Guitane R. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
- 88', Silva H. ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 88', Diogo Calila ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 88', 2 - 4, Begraoui Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Sanchez R. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
- 89', Marques A. ↓, Xeka ↑,
- 90+4', Begraoui Y. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
42.4% | Draw
30.3% | Estoril Praia
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Santa Clara - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.26) |
3.12 ↓
(3.14) |
3.46 ↑
(3.36) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Estoril (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3.
- Recent form of Santa Clara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Estoril is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Santa Clara could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Rocha L.
(Yellow Cards)
Vinicius Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Estoril: Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
Lacximicant A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Estoril Praia?
Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Santa Clara?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Estoril Praia were as follows:
06.09.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Santa Clara
0:1
18.01.2025
Santa Clara
-
Estoril Praia
2:3
11.08.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Santa Clara
1:4
14.11.2022
Santa Clara
-
Estoril Praia
3:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
