Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/02/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.041.36
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
86
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
41
Passes
68% (184/269)77% (306/399)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.041.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.53
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
167
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1010
Passes
68% (184/269)77% (306/399)
Long passes
35% (23/66)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
58% (68/118)56% (58/103)
Crosses
20% (3/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.12
Throw ins
1822
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)40% (6/15)
Duels won
5264
Clearances
2836
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
56
xGOT faced
1.532.71
Goals prevented
0.530.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 23', Arismendi Y. 🟨,
  • 41', Salle S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gomez J. , Contrera J. ,
  • 46', Arismendi Y. , Cabrera J. M. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Osella A. ,
  • 61', Villalba C. , Martinez M. ,
  • 62', Salle S. , Marabel J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Marabel J. , Renteria J. (A),
  • 72', Sartori F. , Dadin B. ,
  • 72', Fernandez M. , Rios G. ,
  • 81', Osella A. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 83', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 88', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. , Moreyra S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
52.2%
Draw
29.4%
Sarmiento de Junín
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30.4% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.1)
    3.21
    (3)
    5.07
    (3.5)
    5.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Independiente R (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Independiente R (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Rivadavia will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 1.
    • In this match, Independiente R is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Sequeira L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Inactive) Garcia M. (Inactive) Godoy J. (Inactive) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    26.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1153317:14318
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9San Lorenzo1135311:12-114
    10Platense113536:7-114
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra110743:7-47
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Argentinos Jrs1155110:5520
    4Belgrano1154212:9319
    5Racing Club1153315:10518
    6Rosario Central1153312:9318
    7Tigre1145216:10617
    8Barracas Central1144310:9116
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi110563:13-105
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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