Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/02/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.041.36
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
86
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
41
Passes
68% (184/269)77% (306/399)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.041.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.53
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
167
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1010
Passes
68% (184/269)77% (306/399)
Long passes
35% (23/66)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
58% (68/118)56% (58/103)
Crosses
20% (3/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.12
Throw ins
1822
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)40% (6/15)
Duels won
5264
Clearances
2836
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
56
xGOT faced
1.532.71
Goals prevented
0.530.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 23', Arismendi Y. 🟨,
  • 41', Salle S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gomez J. , Contrera J. ,
  • 46', Arismendi Y. , Cabrera J. M. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Osella A. ,
  • 61', Villalba C. , Martinez M. ,
  • 62', Salle S. , Marabel J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Marabel J. , Renteria J. (A),
  • 72', Sartori F. , Dadin B. ,
  • 72', Fernandez M. , Rios G. ,
  • 81', Osella A. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 83', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 88', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. , Moreyra S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
52.2%
Draw
29.4%
Sarmiento de Junín
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30.4% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.1)
    3.21
    (3)
    5.07
    (3.5)
    5.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Independiente R (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Independiente R (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Rivadavia will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 1.
    • In this match, Independiente R is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Sequeira L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Inactive) Garcia M. (Inactive) Godoy J. (Inactive) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    26.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6Boca Juniors83329:5412
    7San Lorenzo83327:5212
    8Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    9Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    10Lanus72329:12-39
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano843110:7315
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5Huracan83328:7112
    6Racing Club832311:9211
    7River Plate83238:8011
    8Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    9Banfield83149:9010
    10Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    11Barracas Central82336:7-19
    12Sarmiento Junin83056:9-39
    13Atl. Tucuman81259:13-45
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto81163:12-94
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

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