Vitória de Sernache vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco
Result
1:1
09/03/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Vitória de Sernache
40.3%
Draw
31.4%
SB Castelo Branco
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 33.6% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 32.7% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória de Sernache's performance.
  • SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SB Castelo Branco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Sernache that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SB Castelo Branco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (3)
    2.92
    (2.72)
    3.23
    (2.55)
    9.2%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Recent matches Sernache is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • SB Castelo Branco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
    12.11.2023 SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache 3:0
    Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1