Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 12
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/312) | 87% (448/515) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/312) | 87% (448/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (55/98) | 77% (86/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 28% (11/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gytkjaer C. ⚽, Verreth M. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Kouda R. ⚽, Vlahovic V. (A),
- 36', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 42', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
- 63', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 63', Maggiore G. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 64', Vignali L. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
- 74', Antonucci M. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
- 74', Dorval M. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 79', Pucino R. 🟨,
- 80', Di Serio G. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 80', Vlahovic V. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 81', Verreth M. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
- 90', Candela A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Aurelio G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 90+8', Cassata F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
48.6% | Draw
29.8% | Bari
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Spezia - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.71) |
3.24 ↓
(3.71) |
4.4 ↓
(4.5) |
5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Spezia - Bari?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Bari will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.
- Spezia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bari is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Spezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Spezia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Artistico G.
(Inactive)
Bandinelli F.
(Broken Leg)
Comotto C.
(Injury)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Onofri M.
(Inactive)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Kassama S.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Inactive)
Vicari F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bari: Darboe E.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Bari?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Spezia?
Bari has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Bari were as follows:
29.12.2024
Bari
-
Spezia
2:0
25.10.2024
Spezia
-
Bari
0:0
03.03.2024
Bari
-
Spezia
1:1
15.12.2023
Spezia
-
Bari
1:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 38 |
| 2 | Monza | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Venezia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Palermo | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:13 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:15 | 11 | 29 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | Empoli | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Padova | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Avellino | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:30 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Reggiana | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Spezia | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Bari | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:28 | -12 | 17 |
| 17 | Sudtirol | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Entella | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Mantova | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Pescara | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23:35 | -12 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
