Result
2:0
29/12/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Pairetto P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (283/374) | 73% (245/336) |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
- 35', Falletti C. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Falletti C. (Pen),
- 45', Obaretin N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Wisniewski P. (Own goal),
- 59', Cassata F. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 59', Elia S. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 61', Radunovic B. 🟨,
- 66', Soleri E. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 66', Bandinelli F. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 73', Falletti C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 84', Aurelio G. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 88', Lasagna K. ↓, Sibilli G. ↑,
- 88', Lella N. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 90+4', Benali A. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
- 90+5', Dorval M. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
28.9% | Draw
31.4% | Spezia
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spezia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bari - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.58) |
3.02 ↓
(3.03) |
2.36 ↓
(2.84) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bari - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Spezia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 0.
- Bari is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Spezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Bari: Pucino R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Spezia: Crespi G. M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Djankpata H.
(Injury)
Hristov P.
(Yellow Cards)
Kouda R.
(Knock)
Vignali L.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Bari won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:21 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Spezia?
Bari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Bari?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Spezia were as follows:
25.10.2024
Spezia
-
Bari
0:0
03.03.2024
Bari
-
Spezia
1:1
15.12.2023
Spezia
-
Bari
1:0
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
