Result
0:1
28/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (357/438) | 56% (109/193) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (357/438) | 56% (109/193) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (39/63) | 30% (21/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (118/159) | 56% (37/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 60% (6/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 65 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Borrelli G. ⚽, Papetti A. (A),
- 18', Mateju A. 🟨,
- 20', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
- 35', Verreth M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mateju A. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
- 46', Reca A. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 62', Bandinelli F. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 62', Nuamah P. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
- 63', Corrado N. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 68', Elia S. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 70', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 71', D'Angelo L. 🟨,
- 72', Adorni D. 🟨,
- 73', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 77', Di Serio G. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 83', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 84', Verreth M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 84', Cistana A. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
- 90+1', Besaggio M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
58.5% | Draw
25% | Brescia
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Spezia - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.53) |
3.79 ↓
(3.98) |
5.76 ↓
(6.17) |
6.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
- Recent matches Spezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brescia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Spezia is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
Vignali L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Brescia: Cistana A.
(Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Spezia won 9 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31:17 (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:9 (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Brescia?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Spezia?
Brescia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Brescia were as follows:
29.10.2024
Brescia
-
Spezia
1:1
27.04.2024
Brescia
-
Spezia
0:0
26.09.2023
Spezia
-
Brescia
0:0
19.10.2022
Spezia
-
Brescia
3:1
Latest results of Brescia
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
