Result
1:1
08/04/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 29
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Finland | CMore, CMore Sport |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Orange Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Fotboll, CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
67.2% | Draw
20.6% | Spezia
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Fiorentina - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.44) |
4.66 ↑
(4.49) |
7.72 ↑
(7.25) |
4.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 36 - 81.8%). Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 70.4% – 93.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17).
- Fiorentina has the most likely position - 8 (26.8%), project points - 57, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), not chance of win league.
- Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (34.48%), project points - 34, currently - 25, a chance of relegated (24%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 58, small importance 21, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Fiorentina in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Spezia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fiorentina have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fiorentina is indisputable favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.44.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Spezia?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Fiorentina?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Spezia were as follows:
30.10.2022
Spezia
-
Fiorentina
1:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64:21 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:24 | 13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
