Result
4:1
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 13
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (547/608) | 78% (235/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (547/608) | 78% (235/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (145/174) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽,
- 10', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 21', Di Serio G. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽,
- 33', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Nagy A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 53', Cella S. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Cella S. ⚽, Artioli F. (A),
- 59', Fellipe Jack ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
- 59', Vignali L. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
- 60', Galuppini F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 60', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 69', Di Serio G. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 69', Candela A. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 78', Ruocco F. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 78', Castellini A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Marras T. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
- 84', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
- 85', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 87', Bani C. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Marras T. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
- 90+3', Cassata F. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yv2p8cy8
Chances of winning
Mantova
37.3% | Draw
30% | Spezia
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Mantova - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.71) |
3.13 ↑
(3.05) |
2.87 ↑
(2.67) |
5.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Broken Leg)
Comotto C.
(Injury)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Kouda R.
(Red Card)
Onofri M.
(Inactive)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Spezia?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Mantova?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Spezia were as follows:
13.04.2025
Mantova
-
Spezia
2:2
26.12.2024
Spezia
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
