Result
2:2
13/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (524/585) | 73% (206/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (524/585) | 73% (206/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (138/159) | 65% (63/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.73 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
- 41', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Esposito Sa. ⚽, Esposito F. (A),
- 61', Mancuso L. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 61', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 63', Bertola N. 🟥,
- 64', Lapadula G. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,
- 66', Elia S. 🟨,
- 75', Wieser D. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 75', Mensah D. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
- 75', Esposito F. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 76', Bandinelli F. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Maggioni T. ⚽, Ruocco F. (A),
- 83', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 88', Elia S. ↓, Giorgeschi S. ↑,
- 90+1', Cella S. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Maggioni T. ⚽, Aramu M. (A),
- 90+5', Maggioni T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
23.9% | Draw
25.4% | Spezia
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Mantova - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↓
(4.33) |
3.65 ↑
(3.6) |
1.86 ↑
(1.77) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mantova - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Spezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Spezia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D.
(Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
Wisniewski P.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Fedel G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Vignali L.
(Inactive)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Spezia?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Mantova?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Spezia were as follows:
26.12.2024
Spezia
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
