Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
28/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 16
  • Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalCanal 11, Sport TV2
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.11
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
235
Shots on target
120
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (526/582)84% (343/408)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.11
xG on target (xGOT)
5.090.00
Total shots
235
Shots on target
120
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
180
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3413
Accurate through passes
60
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
613
Passes
90% (526/582)84% (343/408)
Long passes
73% (35/48)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
81% (159/197)62% (40/65)
Crosses
30% (7/23)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.12
Throw-ins
139
Fouls
136
Tackles
46% (13/28)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.005.09
Goals prevented
0.001.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Suarez L. , Simoes J. (A),
  • 36', Inacio G. 🟨,
  • 38', Tome J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Zoabi K. , Andre Luiz ,
  • 46', Tome J. , Vrousai M. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Araujo M. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 0, Suarez L. , Trincao (A),
  • 61', 4 - 0, Suarez L. ,
  • 62', Spikic D. , Aguilera Zamora B. ,
  • 64', Araujo M. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 64', Hjulmand M. , Morita H. ,
  • 65', Simoes J. , Kochorashvili G. ,
  • 68', Inacio G. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 76', Liavas G. , Graca J. ,
  • 76', Petrasso F. , Lomboto J. ,
  • 78', Ioannidis F. , Goncalves F. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
87.8%
Draw
8.7%
Rio Ave
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81.5% 13.2% 5.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.08
(1.16)
10.96
(7.14)
28.33
(17.78)
5.4%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 61.5%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.
    • Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rio Ave has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (International duty) Debast Z. (Knee Injury) Diomande O. (International duty) Fresneda I. (Yellow Cards) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Quenda G. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Clayton (Yellow Cards) Nikitscher T. (Red Card) Rafael Lobato (Inactive) Richards O. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    03.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 2:0
    18.01.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    09.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 3:1
    25.02.2024 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 3:3
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    20.12.2025 Gil Vicente - Rio Ave 2:2
    06.12.2025 AVS - Rio Ave 1:2
    30.11.2025 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:1
    08.11.2025 Alverca - Rio Ave 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto17161036:43249
    2Sporting CP17133147:93842
    3Benfica17116036:112539
    4Gil Vicente1777322:121028
    5Braga1776431:181327
    6Moreirense1783624:24027
    7Vitoria Guimaraes1774618:22-425
    8Famalicao1765620:14623
    9Estoril1755728:29-120
    10Rio Ave1748522:29-720
    11Alverca1762917:27-1020
    12Estrela1747623:27-419
    13Santa Clara1745814:19-517
    14Nacional1745821:26-517
    15Casa Pia1735917:32-1514
    16Arouca1735918:42-2414
    17Tondela17331112:29-1712
    18AFS17041311:43-324

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2