Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
4:0
28/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 16
  • Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalCanal 11, Sport TV2
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.11
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
235
Shots on target
120
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (526/582)84% (343/408)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.11
xG on target (xGOT)
5.090.00
Total shots
235
Shots on target
120
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
180
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3413
Accurate through passes
60
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
613
Passes
90% (526/582)84% (343/408)
Long passes
73% (35/48)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
81% (159/197)62% (40/65)
Crosses
30% (7/23)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.12
Throw-ins
139
Fouls
136
Tackles
46% (13/28)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.005.09
Goals prevented
0.001.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Simoes J. (A),
  • 36', Inacio G. 🟨,
  • 38', Tome J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Zoabi K. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
  • 46', Tome J. ↓, Vrousai M. ↑,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Araujo M. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Trincao (A),
  • 61', 4 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽,
  • 62', Spikic D. ↓, Aguilera Zamora B. ↑,
  • 64', Araujo M. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
  • 64', Hjulmand M. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
  • 65', Simoes J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
  • 68', Inacio G. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
  • 76', Liavas G. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
  • 76', Petrasso F. ↓, Lomboto J. ↑,
  • 78', Ioannidis F. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
87.8%		Draw
8.7%		Rio Ave
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81.5% 13.2% 5.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
    •

    Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.08 ↓
    (1.16)    		 10.96 ↑
    (7.14)    		 28.33 ↑
    (17.78)    		 5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 61.5% – 95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Rio Ave (6.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Sporting (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.
    • Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rio Ave has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (International duty) Debast Z. (Knee Injury) Diomande O. (International duty) Fresneda I. (Yellow Cards) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Quenda G. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Clayton (Yellow Cards) Nikitscher T. (Red Card) Rafael Lobato (Inactive) Richards O. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    03.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 2:0
    18.01.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    09.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 3:1
    25.02.2024 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 3:3
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    23.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 1:4 ✺
    18.12.2025 Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon 2:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - AVS 6:0 ✺
    09.12.2025 Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon 3:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    20.12.2025 Gil Vicente - Rio Ave 2:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 AVS - Rio Ave 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Alverca - Rio Ave 1:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto26223152:104269
    2Sporting CP25195164:145062
    3Benfica26188055:173862
    4Braga25137552:252746
    5Gil Vicente26119639:271242
    6Famalicao26126832:221042
    7Estoril26107947:42537
    8Moreirense261051131:38-735
    9Vitoria Guimaraes26951229:39-1032
    10Alverca26781126:41-1529
    11Rio Ave26691126:45-1927
    12Arouca26751433:55-2226
    13Santa Clara26671323:31-825
    14Estrela265101129:45-1625
    15Casa Pia25591126:44-1824
    16Nacional26571429:38-922
    17Tondela25471419:39-2019
    18AFS26171818:58-4010

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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