Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | ZAP |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Sportklub |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.18 | 0.04 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
86% (391/455) | 85% (337/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.18 | 0.04 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.34 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 1 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
86% (391/455) | 85% (337/396) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (14/34) | 63% (30/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (88/134) | 71% (50/70) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.50 | 0.11 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.34 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
- 10', Debast Z. 🟨,
- 17', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 25', Diomande O. ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
- 45+2', Oliveira N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Goncalves P. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
- 57', Catamo G. 🟨,
- 67', Mendes J. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 71', Arcanjo T. 🟨,
- 73', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 77', Morita H. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Gyokeres V. ⚽,
- 84', Gyokeres V. 🟨,
- 84', Miguel Maga ↓, Gaspar B. ↑,
- 84', Arcanjo T. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 88', Catamo G. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 88', Goncalves P. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 89', Trincao ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon 72.9% | Draw 17.2% | Vitoria Guimarães 9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.31) |
5.53 ↑ (5.37) |
9.64 ↑ (9) |
5.7% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 32 - 88.9%). Guimarães will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 78.6% – 99.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.
- Sporting has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guimarães has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Hjulmand M.
(Yellow Cards)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
Simoes J.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Embalo U.
(Suspended)
Handel T.
(Yellow Cards)
Samu
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:20. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 2.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Sporting Lisbon has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Sporting Lisbon?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
03.01.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
4:4
21.04.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:0
09.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
3:2
24.04.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:2
05.11.2022
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães