Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Sportklub |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (391/455) | 85% (337/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (391/455) | 85% (337/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 63% (30/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (88/134) | 71% (50/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
- 10', Debast Z. 🟨,
- 17', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 25', Diomande O. ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
- 45+2', Oliveira N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Goncalves P. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
- 57', Catamo G. 🟨,
- 67', Mendes J. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 71', Arcanjo T. 🟨,
- 73', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 77', Morita H. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Gyokeres V. ⚽,
- 84', Gyokeres V. 🟨,
- 84', Miguel Maga ↓, Gaspar B. ↑,
- 84', Arcanjo T. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 88', Catamo G. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 88', Goncalves P. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 89', Trincao ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
72.9% | Draw
17.2% | Vitoria Guimarães
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.31) |
5.53 ↑
(5.37) |
9.64 ↑
(9) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 32 - 88.9%). Guimarães will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 78.6% – 99.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.
- Sporting has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guimarães has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Hjulmand M.
(Yellow Cards)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
Simoes J.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Embalo U.
(Suspended)
Handel T.
(Yellow Cards)
Samu
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:20. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 2.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Sporting Lisbon has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Sporting Lisbon?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
03.01.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
4:4
21.04.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:0
09.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
3:2
24.04.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:2
05.11.2022
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
