Result
1:2
06/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Cup - Semi-finals
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 United-arab-emirates | Maraya, Sharjah Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (342/413) | 83% (282/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (342/413) | 83% (282/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 43% (13/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (58/83) | 83% (95/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 24', Ioannidis F. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 29', Nobrega M. 🟨,
- 43', Fresneda I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Saviolo N. 🟨,
- 59', Sousa D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 59', Nobrega M. ↓, Thiago Balieiro ↑,
- 67', Quaresma E. ↓, Romulus ↑,
- 67', Goncalves F. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
- 69', Camara O. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 78', Beni ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 78', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 90+1', Trincao ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
- 90+1', Simoes J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Nogueira G. (A),
- 90+9', Kochorashvili G. 🟨,
- 90+10', Abascal R. 🟨,
- 90+11', 1 - 2, Ndoye A. ⚽, Samu (A),
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
70.1% | Draw
19.3% | Vitoria Guimarães
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.35) |
4.85 ↑
(4.75) |
8.86 ↑
(8.39) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Guimarães will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 71.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.
- Sporting has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guimarães's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:20. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 1.9:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Sporting Lisbon has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Sporting Lisbon?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
23.12.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:4
17.05.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:0
03.01.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
4:4
21.04.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:0
09.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
3:2
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Draw
2025/26Quarter-finals| 1 | Sporting CP | Alverca | 5 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Porto | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Benfica | Tondela | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Braga | Santa Clara | 5 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sporting CP | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Benfica | Braga | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes | Braga | 2 : 1 |
