Result
0:1
02/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/386) | 67% (173/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/386) | 67% (173/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/116) | 46% (35/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Rojas R. 🟨,
- 45', Montiel L. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Franco T. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 46', Rojas R. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
- 46', Roldan M. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
- 56', Mendieta W. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Perez E. ⚽, Gimenez C. (A),
- 63', Benitez F. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 63', Pereira K. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 69', Benitez A. 🟨,
- 81', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
- 83', Alborno R. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
- 83', Quintana S. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 83', Maggi I. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
41.5% | Draw
32.1% | Rubio Ñu
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.29) |
2.88 ↓
(2.99) |
3.57 ↑
(3.34) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Rubio Ñu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Luqueño: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Rubio Ñu (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rubio Ñu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sportivo Luqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sportivo Luqueño could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Rubio Ñu?
Sportivo Luqueño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Rubio Ñu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu were as follows:
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
