Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports, Tigo Sports+
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.53
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
72
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
62
Passes
86% (458/531)60% (147/244)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.69
Total shots
158
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
613
Passes
86% (458/531)60% (147/244)
Long passes
48% (21/44)19% (13/67)
Passes in final third
77% (116/151)39% (26/67)
Crosses
25% (7/28)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.25
Throw ins
2425
Fouls
136
Tackles
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.691.48
Goals prevented
-0.310.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Garcia M. , Esteche L. ,
  • 43', Leguizamon I. , Quintana H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Franco Zayas A. F. , Alcaraz A. ,
  • 54', Colman C. 🟨,
  • 59', Esteche L. 🟨,
  • 61', Delmas E. , Alfaro J. F. ,
  • 61', Perez R. , Silva A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Silva A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Jara T. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 74', Galeano A. , Rivas F. ,
  • 74', Meza Montiel D. , Villamayor H. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 🟨,
  • 76', Sandoval H. , Ortiz R. ,
  • 84', Doldan J. 🟨,
  • 85', Gamarra M. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Caceres L. , Villamayor H. (A),

Chances of winning


Olimpia Asuncion
68.5%
Draw
19.8%
Sportivo San Lorenzo
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 21.4% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 20% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.41)
    4.71
    (4.28)
    8.05
    (6.6)
    7.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12).
    • Olimpia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sportivo San Lorenzo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo were as follows:
    19.07.2023 Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion 1:0
    Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion1183014:6827
    2Cerro Porteno1162314:9520
    3Nacional Asuncion1154218:11719
    4Libertad Asuncion1152418:10817
    5Rubio Nu114349:10-115
    6Guarani1034317:13413
    7Ameliano103439:7213
    8Recoleta1134413:14-113
    9Sportivo Trinidense102539:10-111
    10Sp. Luqueno1132610:14-411
    112 de Mayo102356:15-99
    12San Lorenzo110477:25-184

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )