Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Futbol Paraguayo, Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (219/320) | 71% (244/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (219/320) | 71% (244/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (33/87) | 40% (36/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/105) | 57% (74/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', De la Cruz L. 🟨,
- 13', Benitez A. 🟨,
- 39', Gaona M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zarza P. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 46', Gaona M. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
- 55', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 55', Comas L. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 61', De la Cruz L. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 69', Benitez F. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
- 70', Perez M. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 71', Romero F. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 78', Alvarez A. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
- 86', Baez J. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Quintana S. ⚽, Santander F. (A),
- 90+3', Salcedo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
28.4% | Draw
27.7% | Sportivo Trinidense
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.52) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
2.15 ↓
(2.74) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3.
- Sportivo Luqueño has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sportivo Trinidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
02.08.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
15.04.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
01.02.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:0
02.11.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
01.10.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:3
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
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