Result
1:0
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 29
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (155/251) | 77% (378/492) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (155/251) | 77% (378/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 32% (24/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (52/109) | 50% (55/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 41', Earley S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Phillips D. 🟨,
- 58', Cornick H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 75', Garbett M. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 76', Morgan J. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
- 76', Leonard H. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Sweeney D. ⚽, White H. (A),
- 84', Mendonca L. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
- 86', Piergianni C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Roberts J. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 90+4', White H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
49.9% | Draw
26.1% | Peterborough United
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.25) |
3.57 ↑
(3.1) |
3.88 ↑
(3.1) |
6.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Peterborough will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Peterborough (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 25%). Peterborough (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.
- Stevenage has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Peterborough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Stevenage is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
O'Connor T.
(Injury)
Okagbue D.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Lindgren G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Peterborough United?
Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Stevenage Borough?
Peterborough United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United were as follows:
25.11.2025
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
15.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Peterborough United
1:1
08.10.2024
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
05.10.2024
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
2:1
13.03.2024
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
3:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
