Result
1:0
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 29
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (155/251) | 77% (378/492) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (155/251) | 77% (378/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 32% (24/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (52/109) | 50% (55/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 41', Earley S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Phillips D. 🟨,
- 58', Cornick H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 75', Garbett M. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 76', Morgan J. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
- 76', Leonard H. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Sweeney D. ⚽, White H. (A),
- 84', Mendonca L. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
- 86', Piergianni C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Roberts J. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 90+4', White H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
49.9% | Draw
26.1% | Peterborough United
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.25) |
3.57 ↑
(3.1) |
3.88 ↑
(3.1) |
6.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Peterborough will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.4% – 70.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Peterborough (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 25%). Peterborough (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.
- Stevenage has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Peterborough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Stevenage is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
O'Connor T.
(Injury)
Okagbue D.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Lindgren G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Peterborough United?
Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Stevenage Borough?
Peterborough United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United were as follows:
25.11.2025
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
15.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Peterborough United
1:1
08.10.2024
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
05.10.2024
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
2:1
13.03.2024
Peterborough United
-
Stevenage Borough
3:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
