Swindon Town vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough
25/04/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
22.3%
Draw
28.3%
Stevenage Borough
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 30% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 29.3% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (2.7)
    3.32
    (3.1)
    1.92
    (2.62)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.4%67.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Swindon has the most likely position - 5 (11.37%), has project points - 73, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Stevenage has the most likely position - 1 (38.75%), has project points - 88, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a chance of win league (39%).
    • This event has small quality 17, importance 63, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
    • Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Stevenage is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Stevenage Borough - Swindon Town 2:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League