Result
25/04/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 26
- Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
22.3% | Draw
28.3% | Stevenage Borough
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.16 ↑
(2.7) |
3.32 ↑
(3.1) |
1.92 ↓
(2.62) |
6.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Swindon has the most likely position - 5 (11.37%), has project points - 73, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
- Stevenage has the most likely position - 1 (38.75%), has project points - 88, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a chance of win league (39%).
- This event has small quality 17, importance 63, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
- Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Stevenage is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Swindon Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
08.10.2022
Stevenage Borough
-
Swindon Town
2:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 39 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 65:42 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Oldham | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 47:31 | 16 | 61 |
| 10 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 11 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
