Result
25/04/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 26
- Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
22.3% | Draw
28.3% | Stevenage Borough
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.16 ↑
(2.7) |
3.32 ↑
(3.1) |
1.92 ↓
(2.62) |
6.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Swindon has the most likely position - 5 (11.37%), has project points - 73, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
- Stevenage has the most likely position - 1 (38.75%), has project points - 88, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a chance of win league (39%).
- This event has small quality 17, importance 63, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
- Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Stevenage is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Swindon Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
08.10.2022
Stevenage Borough
-
Swindon Town
2:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Salford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Harrogate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Barrow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Notts Co | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 17 | Colchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Oldham | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 22 | Crawley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
