Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (392/479) | 71% (221/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (392/479) | 71% (221/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 37% (25/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (130/171) | 58% (50/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽,
- 27', Wintle R. 🟨,
- 40', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 45+2', Wootton K. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Colwill J. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Bagan J. 🟨,
- 56', Andresson B. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
- 68', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 68', Colwill J. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 74', Kellyman O. 🟨,
- 82', Norwood O. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 82', Olowu J. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
- 86', Robertson A. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 87', Stokes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
45.1% | Draw
26.2% | Stockport County
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Cardiff City - Stockport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.89) |
3.57
(3.57) |
3.28 ↓
(3.81) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stockport County?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R.
(Ankle Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stockport: Bate L.
(Knee Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Kellyman O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Stockport County?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Cardiff City?
Stockport County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stockport County were as follows:
13.09.2025
Stockport County
-
Cardiff City
1:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Stockport County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
