Luton Town vs Stockport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
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slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.350.89
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
73
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
32
Passes
79% (311/394)77% (316/410)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.350.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.52
Total shots
159
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1214
Passes
79% (311/394)77% (316/410)
Long passes
30% (16/54)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
65% (75/116)54% (59/110)
Crosses
22% (2/9)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.67
Throw ins
2114
Fouls
1412
Tackles
43% (9/21)57% (13/23)
Duels won
5860
Clearances
3718
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.521.67
Goals prevented
-0.48-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Sidibeh A. , Bailey O. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Lawrence E. , Clark J. (A),
  • 37', Pye E. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Wells N. , Naismith K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Olowu J. , Mothersille M. ,
  • 65', Sidibeh A. , Olaofe T. ,
  • 76', Richards J. 🟨,
  • 77', Lawrence E. , Kodua G. ,
  • 78', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 85', Bailey O. , Barry L. ,
  • 85', Stokes J. , Bate L. ,
  • 87', Jones I. , Morris S. ,
  • 88', Richards J. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Wells N. ,
  • 90+2', Wells N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Diamond J. , Dodgson O. ,
  • 90+7', Palmer K. , Saville G. ,
  • 90+7', Wells N. , Cole D. ,

Chances of winning


Luton Town
36.8%
Draw
27.6%
Stockport County
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 28.8% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 28.4% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Luton Town - Stockport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.7)
    3.37
    (3.24)
    2.59
    (2.55)
    8.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
    • Luton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Stockport is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Stockport County were as follows:
    21.03.2026 Luton Town - Stockport County 1:1
    08.11.2025 Stockport County - Luton Town 0:3
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Stockport County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton2 : 1

    Final
    1Stockport CountyLuton1 : 3