Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (225/320) | 79% (361/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (225/320) | 79% (361/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (14/62) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (59/118) | 71% (109/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (21/27) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Lawrence E. ⚽,
- 45+2', Osborn B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wootton K. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
- 50', Hills B. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
- 62', Edun T. 🟨,
- 68', Edun T. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
- 71', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 72', Palmer K. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 72', Cole D. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 77', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Norwood O. ⚽,
- 84', Olaofe T. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
- 85', Bailey O. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
- 88', Saville G. ↓, Sandal S. ↑,
- 88', Richards J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
36.7% | Draw
27.8% | Stockport County
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Luton Town - Stockport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.4) |
3.36 ↓
(3.48) |
2.65 ↓
(2.73) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Stockport County?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Stockport will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Luton (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Luton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Stockport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stockport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Mengi T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stockport: Andresson B.
(Inactive)
Camps C.
(Inactive)
Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Andersen M.
(Inactive)
Wells N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stockport County?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Luton Town?
Stockport County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Stockport County were as follows:
08.11.2025
Stockport County
-
Luton Town
0:3
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Stockport County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
