Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 36
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (458/524) | 72% (189/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (458/524) | 72% (189/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 24% (10/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (145/175) | 42% (26/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 30', Cisse L. 🟨,
- 34', Ronald 🟨,
- 36', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 54', Cisse L. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
- 54', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 66', Ronald ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
- 67', Franco G. 🟨,
- 70', Bocat E. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
- 75', Wilmot B. ↓, Talovierov M. ↑,
- 79', Talovierov M. 🟨,
- 80', Eom J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 81', Galbraith E. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 81', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
- 85', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 90', Franco G. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Cullen L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
49.4% | Draw
27.3% | Stoke City
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Swansea City - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.05) |
3.49 ↑
(3.27) |
4.04 ↑
(3.66) |
5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
- In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Injury)
Baker L.
(Inactive)
Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Cresswell A.
(Calf Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawal B.
(Inactive)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Stoke City?
Swansea City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Swansea City?
Stoke City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Stoke City were as follows:
13.12.2025
Stoke City
-
Swansea City
2:1
15.02.2025
Stoke City
-
Swansea City
3:1
05.10.2024
Swansea City
-
Stoke City
0:0
10.04.2024
Swansea City
-
Stoke City
3:0
12.12.2023
Stoke City
-
Swansea City
1:1
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
