Stoke City vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

Championship - Round 21
Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	1.14
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
71% (201/285)	85% (360/423)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.43	0.71
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
0	3
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
15	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
71% (201/285)	85% (360/423)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
52% (42/81)	69% (53/77)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	0.53
Throw-ins
19	14
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
60% (9/15)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
46	46
Clearances
19	37
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.71	1.43
Goals prevented
-0.29	-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Cullen L. 🟨,
27', Thomas S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Pearson B. ⚽,
44', Pearson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Stamenic M. 🟨,
55', Franco G. 🟨,
58', Stamenic M. ↓, Key J. ↑,
59', Ronald ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Thomas S. ⚽, Bae J. (A),
71', Cullen L. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
71', Eom J. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
72', Bozenik R. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Widell M. (A),
83', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
83', Seko T. ↓, Lawal B. ↑,
83', Franco G. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
86', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
90+2', Widell M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Stoke City
47.8%

Draw
28.5%

Swansea City
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.2%

21.2%

Stoke City - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)	4 ↓ (4.41)	5.4% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 48.9% – 92.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 50%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Stoke (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swansea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Stoke is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Swansea City?

Stoke City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Stoke City?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Swansea City were as follows:

15.02.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 3:1

05.10.2024 Swansea City - Stoke City 0:0

10.04.2024 Swansea City - Stoke City 3:0

12.12.2023 Stoke City - Swansea City 1:1

21.02.2023 Swansea City - Stoke City 1:3

Latest results of Stoke City

10.12.2025 Ipswich Town - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Sheffield United - Stoke City 4:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Stoke City - Hull City 1:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Stoke City - Charlton Athletic 3:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Leicester City - Stoke City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

29.11.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City 3:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Bristol City - Swansea City 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One