Stoke City vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

Championship - Round 21
Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	1.14
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
71% (201/285)	85% (360/423)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.43	0.71
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
0	3
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
15	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
71% (201/285)	85% (360/423)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
52% (42/81)	69% (53/77)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	0.53
Throw-ins
19	14
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
60% (9/15)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
46	46
Clearances
19	37
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.71	1.43
Goals prevented
-0.29	-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Cullen L. 🟨,
27', Thomas S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Pearson B. ⚽,
44', Pearson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Stamenic M. 🟨,
55', Franco G. 🟨,
58', Stamenic M. ↓, Key J. ↑,
59', Ronald ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Thomas S. ⚽, Bae J. (A),
71', Cullen L. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
71', Eom J. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
72', Bozenik R. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Widell M. (A),
83', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
83', Seko T. ↓, Lawal B. ↑,
83', Franco G. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
86', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
90+2', Widell M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Stoke City
47.8%

Draw
28.5%

Swansea City
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.2%

21.2%

Stoke City - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)	4 ↓ (4.41)	5.4% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Stoke (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swansea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Stoke is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Swansea City?

Stoke City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Stoke City?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Swansea City were as follows:

15.02.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 3:1

05.10.2024 Swansea City - Stoke City 0:0

10.04.2024 Swansea City - Stoke City 3:0

12.12.2023 Stoke City - Swansea City 1:1

21.02.2023 Swansea City - Stoke City 1:3

Latest results of Stoke City

10.12.2025 Ipswich Town - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Sheffield United - Stoke City 4:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Stoke City - Hull City 1:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Stoke City - Charlton Athletic 3:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Leicester City - Stoke City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

29.11.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City 3:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Bristol City - Swansea City 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One