Result
3:2
18/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (266/369) | 62% (166/268) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (266/369) | 62% (166/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (36/87) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (56/92) | 53% (63/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Bordon F. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽, Biasci T. (A),
- 32', Adamonis M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Tonin R. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
- 46', Bordon F. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
- 46', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
- 47', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 47', El Kaouakibi H. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Casiraghi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 52', Simic L. 🟨,
- 56', Patierno C. 🟨,
- 58', Palmiero L. 🟨,
- 62', Pecorino E. 🟨,
- 71', Crnigoj D. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Besaggio M. ⚽, Patierno C. (A),
- 73', Masiello A. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Pecorino E. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
- 77', Patierno C. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Izzo A. ⚽, Simic L. (A),
- 80', Veseli F. 🟨,
- 82', Palumbo M. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 82', Biasci T. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 84', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 90+3', Besaggio M. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
- 90+5', Tronchin S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avellino
39.3% | Draw
33.4% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.61) |
2.84 ↓
(3.15) |
3.43 ↑
(2.64) |
5.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Avellino (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Südtirol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pandolfi L.
(Injury)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Cragno A.
(Injury)
Odogwu R.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
Tait F.
(Red Card)
Zedadka K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Avellino: Palmiero L.
(Injury)
Sala M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Avellino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Avellino?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
29.11.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Avellino
0:1
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
