Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 1.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
61% (128/211) | 65% (166/255) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 1.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.37 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
61% (128/211) | 65% (166/255) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (22/55) | 38% (26/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
44% (40/90) | 44% (48/110) |
Crosses |
---|
52% (12/23) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.82 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 67 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 2.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.22 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Molina S. 🟨,
- 14', Rover M. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Mazzocchi S. ⚽, Zilli M. (A),
- 43', El Kaouakibi H. 🟨,
- 43', Florenzi A. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Molina S. ⚽, Davi S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rover M. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
- 57', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 59', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
- 60', Florenzi A. 🟨,
- 64', Zilli M. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 64', Ciervo R. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 64', Caporale A. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Davi S. ⚽, Veseli F. (A),
- 70', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,
- 71', Kofler R. 🟨,
- 72', Casiraghi D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 72', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 77', Artistico G. 🟨,
- 84', Gargiulo M. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,
- 84', Kofler R. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
- 88', Odogwu R. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 90+2', Gori G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige 54.5% | Draw 26% | Nuova Cosenza 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.92) |
3.6 ↑ (3.3) |
4.84 ↑ (4.05) |
6.3% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Südtirol is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
Ceppitelli L.
(Inactive)
Kurtic J.
(Injury)
Praszelik M.
(Inactive)
Rottensteiner B.
(Inactive)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cosenza: Dalle Mura C.
(Yellow Cards)
Garritano L.
(Calf Injury)
Martino P.
(Inactive)
Ricci G.
(Yellow Cards)
Ricciardi M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Nuova Cosenza?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Nuova Cosenza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
06.10.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:2
27.01.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Nuova Cosenza
0:1
16.09.2023
Nuova Cosenza
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:2
18.02.2023
Nuova Cosenza
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:0
17.09.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Nuova Cosenza
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |