Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (128/211) | 65% (166/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (128/211) | 65% (166/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 38% (26/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (40/90) | 44% (48/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Molina S. 🟨,
- 14', Rover M. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Mazzocchi S. ⚽, Zilli M. (A),
- 43', El Kaouakibi H. 🟨,
- 43', Florenzi A. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Molina S. ⚽, Davi S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rover M. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
- 57', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 59', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
- 60', Florenzi A. 🟨,
- 64', Zilli M. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 64', Ciervo R. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 64', Caporale A. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Davi S. ⚽, Veseli F. (A),
- 70', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,
- 71', Kofler R. 🟨,
- 72', Casiraghi D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 72', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 77', Artistico G. 🟨,
- 84', Gargiulo M. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,
- 84', Kofler R. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
- 88', Odogwu R. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 90+2', Gori G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
54.5% | Draw
26% | Nuova Cosenza
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.92) |
3.6 ↑
(3.3) |
4.84 ↑
(4.05) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Südtirol is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
Ceppitelli L.
(Inactive)
Kurtic J.
(Injury)
Praszelik M.
(Inactive)
Rottensteiner B.
(Inactive)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cosenza: Dalle Mura C.
(Yellow Cards)
Garritano L.
(Calf Injury)
Martino P.
(Inactive)
Ricci G.
(Yellow Cards)
Ricciardi M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Nuova Cosenza?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Nuova Cosenza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
06.10.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:2
27.01.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Nuova Cosenza
0:1
16.09.2023
Nuova Cosenza
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:2
18.02.2023
Nuova Cosenza
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:0
17.09.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Nuova Cosenza
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
