Result
1:1
28/02/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 3.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 47 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (125/209) | 85% (344/404) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 51% (39/77) | 80% (138/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 31% (10/32) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Chichizola L. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Odogwu R. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Mateju A. ⚽, Bandinelli F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Pietrangeli N. 🟨,
- 61', Barreca A. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
- 61', Praszelik M. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 65', Vignali L. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 65', Colak A. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 71', Hristov P. 🟨,
- 73', Casiraghi D. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 73', Kofler R. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 73', Bandinelli F. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 73', Reca A. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 79', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 83', Merkaj S. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
- 84', Mateju A. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
19.7% | Draw
28.9% | Spezia
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.73 ↑
(4.21) |
3.24 ↑
(3.23) |
1.83 ↓
(1.89) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Südtirol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Spezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Spezia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Poluzzi G.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Lapadula G.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Vimercati A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Spezia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Spezia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia were as follows:
24.11.2024
Spezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
3:0
09.03.2024
Spezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
20.08.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Spezia
3:3
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
