Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 19
- Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (182/283) | 79% (366/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (182/283) | 79% (366/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (78/121) | 67% (98/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 7% (2/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Vignali L. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽, Nagy A. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, Kofler R. ⚽,
- 60', Vlahovic V. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 61', Vignali L. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
- 62', Tait F. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 73', Aurelio G. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 73', Nagy A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 73', Zedadka K. ↓, Pietrangeli N. ↑,
- 74', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 78', Tronchin S. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
- 78', Casiraghi D. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 80', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 82', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 87', Adamo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
42.3% | Draw
30.5% | Spezia
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.21) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
3.4 ↑
(3.15) |
7.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Spezia (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)
- Recent form of Südtirol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Spezia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Südtirol could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Davi S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Spezia: Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Martini J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Spezia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Spezia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia were as follows:
28.02.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Spezia
1:1
24.11.2024
Spezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
3:0
09.03.2024
Spezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
20.08.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Spezia
3:3
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
