Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

League Two - Round 40
Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.58	0.98
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	4
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
64% (209/327)	62% (199/322)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.58	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.26	0.94
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
15	7
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
23	17
Through passes
100% (1/1)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
21	9
Passes
64% (209/327)	62% (199/322)
Long passes
32% (26/82)	23% (18/77)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)	48% (60/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	0.77
Fouls
9	21
Tackles
100% (8/8)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
53	44
Clearances Total
27	34
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.94	3.26
Goals prevented
-0.06	1.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Lewis J. 🟨,
45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stevens M. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ⚽,
63', Smith A. 🟨,
67', Butterworth D. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
68', Westley J. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
68', Kirkman B. ↓, Freckleton M. ↑,
80', Cotterill J. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
80', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
90+1', Maycock C. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
28.9%

Draw
28.6%

AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.65)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	2.23 ↓ (2.51)	6.2% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1% – 74.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Pigott J. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against AFC Wimbledon?

Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Swindon Town?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1

13.04.2024 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:2

09.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 4:0

22.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:5

10.12.2022 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0

Latest results of Swindon Town

29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 3:3 ✺

08.03.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Swindon Town 2:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:2 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon 1:2 ✺

11.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League