Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.260.94
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2317
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
219
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Long passes
32% (26/82)23% (18/77)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)48% (60/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.77
Fouls
921
Tackles
100% (8/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5344
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.943.26
Goals prevented
-0.061.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Stevens M. , Browne M. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ,
  • 63', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 67', Butterworth D. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 68', Westley J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 68', Kirkman B. , Freckleton M. ,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ameen B. ,
  • 80', Ofoborh N. , Cain J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
28.9%
Draw
28.6%
AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 27.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28% 37.3%

Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.26
(2.65)
3.26
(3.35)
2.23
(2.51)
6.2%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Pigott J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1
    13.04.2024 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    09.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 4:0
    22.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:5
    10.12.2022 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    7Salford1892724:25-129
    8Gillingham1877426:20628
    9Chesterfield1877432:29328
    10Colchester1876528:21727
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League