Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.260.94
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2317
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
219
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Long passes
32% (26/82)23% (18/77)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)48% (60/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.77
Fouls
921
Tackles
100% (8/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5344
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.943.26
Goals prevented
-0.061.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Stevens M. , Browne M. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ,
  • 63', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 67', Butterworth D. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 68', Westley J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 68', Kirkman B. , Freckleton M. ,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ameen B. ,
  • 80', Ofoborh N. , Cain J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
28.9%
Draw
28.6%
AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 27.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28% 37.3%

Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.26
(2.65)
3.26
(3.35)
2.23
(2.51)
6.2%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Pigott J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1
    13.04.2024 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    09.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 4:0
    22.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:5
    10.12.2022 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley29178452:312159
    2Notts Co29166744:291554
    3Cambridge Utd28158538:221653
    4Swindon29164947:341352
    5Salford29164941:35652
    6MK Dons29149656:312551
    7Walsall29147837:28949
    8Chesterfield291112646:39745
    9Grimsby28128841:32944
    10Crewe301281046:38844
    11Barnet291110837:30743
    12Accrington291271035:30543
    13Colchester28119841:311042
    14Gillingham28911838:35338
    15Fleetwood281071137:37037
    16Oldham27811828:26235
    17Tranmere29881342:49-732
    18Cheltenham28931627:48-2130
    19Bristol Rovers29831826:47-2127
    20Crawley29681532:47-1526
    21Barrow27661528:42-1424
    22Shrewsbury28581523:47-2423
    23Newport28551829:54-2520
    24Harrogate30462020:49-2918

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League