Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.260.94
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2317
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
219
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Long passes
32% (26/82)23% (18/77)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)48% (60/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.77
Fouls
921
Tackles
100% (8/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5344
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.943.26
Goals prevented
-0.061.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Stevens M. , Browne M. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ,
  • 63', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 67', Butterworth D. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 68', Westley J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 68', Kirkman B. , Freckleton M. ,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ameen B. ,
  • 80', Ofoborh N. , Cain J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
28.9%
Draw
28.6%
AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 27.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28% 37.3%

Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.26
(2.65)
3.26
(3.35)
2.23
(2.51)
6.2%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Pigott J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1
    13.04.2024 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    09.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 4:0
    22.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:5
    10.12.2022 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall20123530:191139
    2Notts Co20114535:221337
    3Swindon20114534:25937
    4Bromley20106432:23936
    5Cambridge Utd2197524:18634
    6MK Dons2096538:241433
    7Salford20103729:29033
    8Crewe2195734:28632
    9Chesterfield2088436:31532
    10Gillingham2079428:22630
    11Fleetwood2086630:27330
    12Colchester2077631:25628
    13Barnet2077627:22528
    14Grimsby2076733:28527
    15Tranmere2068634:31326
    16Oldham2059618:16224
    17Accrington2166923:25-224
    18Cheltenham21731118:34-1624
    19Barrow21561021:30-921
    20Shrewsbury2047920:33-1319
    21Crawley20461025:35-1018
    22Bristol Rovers21531316:39-2318
    23Harrogate20451118:31-1317
    24Newport20341320:37-1713

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League