Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.58 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
64% (209/327) | 62% (199/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.58 | 0.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.26 | 0.94 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 17 |
Through passes |
---|
100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
64% (209/327) | 62% (199/322) |
Long passes |
---|
32% (26/82) | 23% (18/77) |
Passes in final third |
---|
49% (43/87) | 48% (60/125) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.77 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (8/8) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 44 |
Clearances Total |
---|
27 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.94 | 3.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.06 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Stevens M. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ⚽,
- 63', Smith A. 🟨,
- 67', Butterworth D. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
- 68', Westley J. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 68', Kirkman B. ↓, Freckleton M. ↑,
- 80', Cotterill J. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 80', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
- 90+1', Maycock C. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
- 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Swindon Town 28.9% | Draw 28.6% | AFC Wimbledon 42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.26 ↑ (2.65) |
3.26 ↓ (3.35) |
2.23 ↓ (2.51) |
6.2% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Pigott J.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Swindon Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
26.12.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Swindon Town
1:1
13.04.2024
Swindon Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:2
09.12.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Swindon Town
4:0
22.04.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Swindon Town
1:5
10.12.2022
Swindon Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League