Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Jacobo R. ↓, Pipe ↑,
- 16', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Montero Sergio ⚽,
- 45', Molina A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 1, Cuenca D. ⚽,
- 62', Solar M. 🟨,
- 62', Molina A. ↓, Pitu ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 70', Dominguez J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 70', Artola J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 74', 🟨,
- 81', Dibrani B. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 82', Gomez V. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
- 83', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Areso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina
35.4% | Draw
31.5% | Mérida AD
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.73) |
2.88 ↓
(3.09) |
2.77 ↑
(2.41) |
9.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mérida AD will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Talavera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mérida AD is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Mérida AD?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Talavera de la Reina?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD were as follows:
12.03.2023
Mérida AD
-
Talavera de la Reina
1:1
19.10.2022
Talavera de la Reina
-
Mérida AD
1:1
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 36:10 | 26 | 47 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 37 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 32 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 31 |
| 6 | Zamora | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | Real Aviles | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 30 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 29 |
| 10 | Lugo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Ourense CF | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 | Unionistas | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:27 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Ponferradina | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 23 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
| 17 | Arenteiro | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15:22 | -7 | 20 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 19 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 18 |
| 20 | Guadalajara | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
