Talavera de la Reina vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
86
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
86
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Jacobo R. , Pipe ,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Montero Sergio ,
  • 45', Molina A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Cuenca D. ,
  • 62', Solar M. 🟨,
  • 62', Molina A. , Pitu ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 70', Dominguez J. , Pereira R. ,
  • 70', Artola J. , Martinez G. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 81', Dibrani B. , Capitas M. ,
  • 82', Gomez V. , Farrando M. ,
  • 83', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Areso J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
35.4%
Draw
31.5%
Mérida AD
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 29.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 29.1% 37.8%

Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.6
(2.73)
2.88
(3.09)
2.77
(2.41)
9.4%
(10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mérida AD will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Talavera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mérida AD is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD were as follows:
    12.03.2023 Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina 1:1
    19.10.2022 Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD 1:1
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    22.11.2025 Mérida AD - Real Avilés 2:1
    15.11.2025 Pontevedra - Mérida AD 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife17122332:102238
    2Celta Vigo B17103425:19633
    3Racing Club Ferrol1793523:18530
    4Real Madrid B1791722:21128
    5Pontevedra1776420:15527
    6Real Aviles1783626:23327
    7Zamora1775525:21426
    8Ath Bilbao B1774621:23-225
    9Merida AD1773726:26024
    10Lugo1758415:14123
    11Arenas Getxo1763819:25-621
    12Unionistas1755721:21020
    13Barakaldo1748519:20-120
    14Ourense CF1747620:22-219
    15Arenteiro1754814:17-319
    16CF Talavera1753918:21-318
    17Osasuna B1746712:18-618
    18Ponferradina1745817:21-417
    19Guadalajara1745818:27-917
    20Cacereno1736813:24-1115

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