Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 41', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Lancho J. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
- 62', Areso J. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
- 62', Dibrani B. ↓, Doncel C. ↑,
- 71', Molina S. 🟨,
- 74', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
- 78', Solar M. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 78', Hallsson S. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 80', Ferni ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
- 80', Molina A. ↓, Roig A. ↑,
- 87', Beneit R. 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+1', Montero Sergio ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
- 90+6', Lopez A. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
51% | Draw
27.4% | Talavera de la Reina
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.81) |
3.33 ↑
(3.21) |
4.21 ↓
(4.22) |
9.7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 1.
- Mérida AD is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mérida AD may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mérida AD is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Talavera de la Reina?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Mérida AD?
Talavera de la Reina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
14.12.2025
Talavera de la Reina
-
Mérida AD
2:1
12.03.2023
Mérida AD
-
Talavera de la Reina
1:1
19.10.2022
Talavera de la Reina
-
Mérida AD
1:1
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
