Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Jacobo R. ↓, Pipe ↑,
- 16', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Montero Sergio ⚽,
- 45', Molina A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 1, Cuenca D. ⚽,
- 62', Solar M. 🟨,
- 62', Molina A. ↓, Pitu ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 70', Dominguez J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 70', Artola J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 74', 🟨,
- 81', Dibrani B. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 82', Gomez V. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
- 83', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Areso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina
35.4% | Draw
31.5% | Mérida AD
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.73) |
2.88 ↓
(3.09) |
2.77 ↑
(2.41) |
9.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mérida AD will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Talavera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mérida AD is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Mérida AD?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Talavera de la Reina?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD were as follows:
12.03.2023
Mérida AD
-
Talavera de la Reina
1:1
19.10.2022
Talavera de la Reina
-
Mérida AD
1:1
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
