Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.71
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
88% (272/310)	93% (557/601)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.23
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
13	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
88% (272/310)	93% (557/601)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	80% (40/50)
Passes in final third
75% (74/99)	81% (104/129)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	4% (1/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.67
Throw-ins
8	14
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
75% (6/8)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
26	31
Clearances
22	16
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.23	0.69
Goals prevented
-0.77	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Sacko I. 🟨,
27', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Azocar J. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
59', Bassett O. 🟨,
66', Okello N. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
66', Flores D. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
66', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
66', Bassett O. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Rizzo P. ⚽,
75', Pacius W. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
75', Moon N. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽,
77', Rivera D. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
90', Avayevu H. ↓, Emmers X. ↑,
90', Sacko I. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
90+1', Cabral R. 🟨,
90+6', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
48%

Draw
25.7%

Phoenix Rising
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.8)	3.62 ↓ (3.69)	3.52 ↓ (3.95)	7.6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Phoenix Rising?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Phoenix Rising has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising were as follows:

10.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0

06.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 2:0

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

09.08.2025 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

09.08.2025 Lexington - Phoenix Rising 2:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion 3:3 ✺

30.07.2025 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 2:3 ✺

12.07.2025 Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)