Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.71
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
88% (272/310)93% (557/601)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.23
Total shots
910
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
119
Passes
88% (272/310)93% (557/601)
Long passes
53% (25/47)80% (40/50)
Passes in final third
75% (74/99)81% (104/129)
Crosses
10% (2/20)4% (1/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.67
Throw-ins
814
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
2631
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.230.69
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 27', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Azocar J. , Sharp C. ,
  • 59', Bassett O. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Dennis C. ,
  • 66', Flores D. , Flood R. ,
  • 66', Vancaeyezeele T. , Skinner J. ,
  • 66', Bassett O. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Rizzo P. ,
  • 75', Pacius W. , Arteaga M. ,
  • 75', Moon N. , Fernandes L. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ,
  • 77', Rivera D. , Cabral R. ,
  • 90', Avayevu H. , Emmers X. ,
  • 90', Sacko I. , Formella D. ,
  • 90+1', Cabral R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
48%
Draw
25.7%
Phoenix Rising
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 25.1% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 24% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    3.62
    (3.69)
    3.52
    (3.95)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    06.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )