Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.71
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
88% (272/310)93% (557/601)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.23
Total shots
910
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
119
Passes
88% (272/310)93% (557/601)
Long passes
53% (25/47)80% (40/50)
Passes in final third
75% (74/99)81% (104/129)
Crosses
10% (2/20)4% (1/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.67
Throw-ins
814
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
2631
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.230.69
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 27', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Azocar J. , Sharp C. ,
  • 59', Bassett O. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Dennis C. ,
  • 66', Flores D. , Flood R. ,
  • 66', Vancaeyezeele T. , Skinner J. ,
  • 66', Bassett O. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Rizzo P. ,
  • 75', Pacius W. , Arteaga M. ,
  • 75', Moon N. , Fernandes L. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ,
  • 77', Rivera D. , Cabral R. ,
  • 90', Avayevu H. , Emmers X. ,
  • 90', Sacko I. , Formella D. ,
  • 90+1', Cabral R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
48%
Draw
25.7%
Phoenix Rising
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 25.1% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 24% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    3.62
    (3.69)
    3.52
    (3.95)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    06.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )