Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.71
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
88% (272/310)93% (557/601)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.23
Total shots
910
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
119
Passes
88% (272/310)93% (557/601)
Long passes
53% (25/47)80% (40/50)
Passes in final third
75% (74/99)81% (104/129)
Crosses
10% (2/20)4% (1/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.67
Throw-ins
814
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
2631
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.230.69
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 27', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Azocar J. , Sharp C. ,
  • 59', Bassett O. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Dennis C. ,
  • 66', Flores D. , Flood R. ,
  • 66', Vancaeyezeele T. , Skinner J. ,
  • 66', Bassett O. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Rizzo P. ,
  • 75', Pacius W. , Arteaga M. ,
  • 75', Moon N. , Fernandes L. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ,
  • 77', Rivera D. , Cabral R. ,
  • 90', Avayevu H. , Emmers X. ,
  • 90', Sacko I. , Formella D. ,
  • 90+1', Cabral R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
48%
Draw
25.7%
Phoenix Rising
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 25.1% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 24% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    3.62
    (3.69)
    3.52
    (3.95)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    06.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )