Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 15
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (528/609) | 72% (189/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (528/609) | 72% (189/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (168/219) | 56% (35/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (12/41) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Kubica K. ⚽, Kasperkiewicz A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 46', Jakubik W. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 54', Elitim J. 🟨,
- 57', Elitim J. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
- 57', Szymanski D. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 58', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
- 62', Kopacz B. 🟨,
- 65', Urbanski W. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
- 65', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 66', Kubica K. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
- 66', Zapolnik K. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 67', Guerrero S. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Krasniqi E. ⚽,
- 79', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
- 83', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
- 89', Urbanski K. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Trubeha A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
68.2% | Draw
18.7% | Termalica Nieciecza
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38
(1.38) |
4.97 ↑
(4.33) |
7.28 ↑
(6) |
6.5%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Termalica is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Termalica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
Weisshaupt N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Legia Warsaw?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
30.08.2022
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Legia Warsaw
2:3
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 33 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Cracovia | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Rakow | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27:25 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 31:30 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 27 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:21 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | GKS Katowice | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 41:39 | 2 | 24 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 26:33 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 17:34 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Legia | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:37 | -12 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
