Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.39
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)69% (96/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.99
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
137
Tackles
69% (9/13)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.390.63
Goals prevented
1.39-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ,
  • 24', Morgan L. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 41', Monlouis Z. , Thompson K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. , Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
  • 62', Carmona W. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 62', Carballo F. , Donkor R. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Valencia O. ,
  • 66', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dominguez M. , Kerr D. ,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. , Spicer T. ,
  • 77', Bogacz W. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rosted S. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 83', Sofo M. , Hall J. ,
  • 87', Etienne D. , Wingo H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
27%
Draw
27.7%
New York Red Bulls
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 28.8% 40.7%

Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.5
(3.11)
3.4
(3.29)
2.12
(2.36)
5.1%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31%73.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Toronto (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York Red Bulls will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 20%). NY Red Bulls (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Stroud P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (International duty) Harper C. (Injury) Stokes A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1
    02.10.2024 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    27.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:1
    22.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:0
    07.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)