Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (332/422) | 81% (377/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (332/422) | 81% (377/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (57/92) | 69% (96/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.39 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ⚽,
- 24', Morgan L. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
- 41', Monlouis Z. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. ⚽, Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
- 62', Carmona W. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 62', Carballo F. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
- 62', Edwards R. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
- 66', Coello A. 🟨,
- 76', Dominguez M. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 76', Corbeanu T. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 77', Bogacz W. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
- 81', Rosted S. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 83', Sofo M. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 87', Etienne D. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
27% | Draw
27.7% | New York Red Bulls
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(3.11) |
3.4 ↑
(3.29) |
2.12 ↓
(2.36) |
5.1%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
- Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Flores D.
(International duty)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Laryea R.
(International duty)
Osorio J.
(International duty)
Spicer T.
(International duty)
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R.
(Knee Injury)
Morales M.
(Thigh Injury)
Nealis D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rojas A.
(International duty)
Stroud P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K.
(Ankle Injury)
Kerr D.
(Ankle Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W.
(International duty)
Harper C.
(Injury)
Stokes A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against New York Red Bulls?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Toronto FC?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
22.03.2025
New York Red Bulls
-
Toronto FC
2:1
02.10.2024
Toronto FC
-
New York Red Bulls
1:4
27.07.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Toronto FC
0:1
22.06.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Toronto FC
0:0
07.10.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
Toronto FC
3:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
