Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.39
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)69% (96/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.99
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
137
Tackles
69% (9/13)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.390.63
Goals prevented
1.39-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ⚽,
  • 24', Morgan L. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
  • 41', Monlouis Z. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. ⚽, Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
  • 62', Carmona W. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
  • 62', Carballo F. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
  • 62', Edwards R. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
  • 66', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dominguez M. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
  • 77', Bogacz W. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
  • 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rosted S. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
  • 83', Sofo M. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
  • 87', Etienne D. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
27%		Draw
27.7%		New York Red Bulls
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 28.8% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
    •

    Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.5 ↑
    (3.11)    		 3.4 ↑
    (3.29)    		 2.12 ↓
    (2.36)    		 5.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31% – 73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Stroud P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (International duty) Harper C. (Injury) Stokes A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1
    02.10.2024 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    27.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:1
    22.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:0
    07.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2 ✺
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6 ✺
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    14.06.2025 Austin FC - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 4:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 DC United - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺
    21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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