Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.39
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)69% (96/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.99
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
137
Tackles
69% (9/13)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.390.63
Goals prevented
1.39-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ⚽,
  • 24', Morgan L. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
  • 41', Monlouis Z. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. ⚽, Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
  • 62', Carmona W. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
  • 62', Carballo F. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
  • 62', Edwards R. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
  • 66', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dominguez M. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
  • 77', Bogacz W. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
  • 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rosted S. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
  • 83', Sofo M. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
  • 87', Etienne D. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
27%		Draw
27.7%		New York Red Bulls
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 28.8% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
    •

    Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.5 ↑
    (3.11)    		 3.4 ↑
    (3.29)    		 2.12 ↓
    (2.36)    		 5.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31% – 73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Stroud P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (International duty) Harper C. (Injury) Stokes A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1
    02.10.2024 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    27.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:1
    22.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:0
    07.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2 ✺
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6 ✺
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    14.06.2025 Austin FC - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 4:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 DC United - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺
    21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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