Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.39
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)69% (96/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.99
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
137
Tackles
69% (9/13)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.390.63
Goals prevented
1.39-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ⚽,
  • 24', Morgan L. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
  • 41', Monlouis Z. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. ⚽, Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
  • 62', Carmona W. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
  • 62', Carballo F. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
  • 62', Edwards R. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
  • 66', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dominguez M. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
  • 77', Bogacz W. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
  • 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rosted S. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
  • 83', Sofo M. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
  • 87', Etienne D. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
27%		Draw
27.7%		New York Red Bulls
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 28.8% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
    •

    Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.5 ↑
    (3.11)    		 3.4 ↑
    (3.29)    		 2.12 ↓
    (2.36)    		 5.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31% – 73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Stroud P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (International duty) Harper C. (Injury) Stokes A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1
    02.10.2024 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    27.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:1
    22.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:0
    07.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2 ✺
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6 ✺
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    14.06.2025 Austin FC - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 4:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 DC United - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺
    21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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