Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.39
Total shots
138
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (332/422)81% (377/465)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)69% (96/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.99
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
137
Tackles
69% (9/13)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.390.63
Goals prevented
1.39-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sofo M. ,
  • 24', Morgan L. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 41', Monlouis Z. , Thompson K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Corbeanu T. , Rosted S. (A), Coello A. (A2)
  • 62', Carmona W. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 62', Carballo F. , Donkor R. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Valencia O. ,
  • 66', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dominguez M. , Kerr D. ,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. , Spicer T. ,
  • 77', Bogacz W. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 80', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 81', Rosted S. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 83', Sofo M. , Hall J. ,
  • 87', Etienne D. , Wingo H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
27%
Draw
27.7%
New York Red Bulls
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 28.8% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.11)
    3.4
    (3.29)
    2.12
    (2.36)
    5.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 31%73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Stroud P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (International duty) Harper C. (Injury) Stokes A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1
    02.10.2024 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    27.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:1
    22.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 0:0
    07.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

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