Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
7:5
27/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3331
Shots off target
923
Shooting PCT
21.21% (7/33)16.13% (5/31)
Blocked Shots
57
Goalkeeper Saves
2626
Saves PCT
83.87% (26/31)81.25% (26/32)
Penalties
24
PIM
48
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)50% (2/4)
Hits
3332
Faceoffs Won
2530
Faceoffs %
45.4554.55
Giveaways
1718
Takeaways
64
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:12, Zetterlund F. (2 min),
  • 00:40, 1 - 0, Nylander W. (G), Matthews A. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 07:50, Myers P. (2 min),
  • 13:07, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
  • 14:42, 2 - 0, Knies M. (G), Domi M. (A), Robertson N. (A2)
  • 17:50, 2 - 1, Cousins N. (G), Spence J. (A), Halliday S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 00:18, 2 - 2, Greig R. (G), Giroux C. (A),
  • 03:28, 3 - 2, McMann B. (G), Matthews A. (A), Domi M. (A2)
  • 07:28, 4 - 2, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
  • 07:28, Ullmark L. ↓, Merilainen L. ↑,
  • 08:32, 5 - 2, Robertson N. (G), Knies M. (A), Roy N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 3)
  • 00:14, 5 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Cozens D. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
  • 01:47, Batherson D. (2 min),
  • 01:47, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 05:07, 5 - 4, Stutzle T. (G), Zetterlund F. (A),
  • 05:53, 6 - 4, Knies M. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 09:18, 6 - 5, Spence J. (G), Giroux C. (A), Halliday S. (A2)
  • 12:46, Sanderson J. (2 min),
  • 18:44, 7 - 5, Tavares J. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
35%		Draw
22.2%		Ottawa Senators
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 21% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 19.4% 37.5%

Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.71 ↑
(2.18)		 4.32 ↓
(4.62)		 2.22 ↓
(2.8)		 5.2%
(3.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ottawa will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 56% – 94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ottawa Senators will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ottawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Eller L. (Lower-Body Injury) Kleven T. (Lower-Body Injury) Pinto S. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:64. (average 2.7:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 2.6:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 2:3
    21.09.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    01.05.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4
    29.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 0:4
    26.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    23.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:3 ✺
    21.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Nashville Predators - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:3 ✺
    18.12.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:0 ✺
    16.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ottawa Senators
    23.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres 2:3 ✺
    21.12.2025 Boston Bruins - Ottawa Senators 2:6 ✺
    20.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Chicago Blackhawks 6:4 ✺
    18.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:0 ✺
    15.12.2025 Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators 2:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche4329374175:9971
    2Dallas Stars44224810153:12460
    3Minnesota Wild45188811143:12160
    4Vegas Golden Knights421451211133:13250
    5Edmonton Oilers44175616149:14850
    6Seattle Kraken42146814117:12348
    7San Jose Sharks431210318136:15147
    8Los Angeles Kings421261014114:11746
    9Utah Mammoth44156320133:12545
    10Anaheim Ducks44138320147:16345
    11Nashville Predators43146419122:14344
    12Chicago Blackhawks43144718125:13743
    13St. Louis Blues44170819110:15342
    14Calgary Flames44144422114:13440
    15Vancouver Canucks43106522121:15337
    16Winnipeg Jets42132522121:13435


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes44189314152:13357
    2Montreal Canadiens44169613151:14456
    3Detroit Red Wings45197415141:14256
    4Tampa Bay Lightning42215313146:11255
    5New York Islanders44168515130:12253
    6Philadelphia Flyers42157812130:12052
    7Pittsburgh Penguins42174912139:13251
    8Buffalo Sabres42176415135:13150
    9Washington Capitals44202616143:12950
    10Toronto Maple Leafs43165715143:14049
    11Boston Bruins44167219141:14448
    12Florida Panthers43193318132:14047
    13New Jersey Devils44157220115:13746
    14New York Rangers45137619118:12546
    15Ottawa Senators43155518139:14545
    16Columbus Blue Jackets43117718132:14743

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