Result
5:2
21/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 44 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.36% (5/44) | 14.29% (2/14) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (12/14) | 88.64% (39/44) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 80% (4/5) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.93 | 44.07 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:30, Pinto S. (2 min),
- 01:30, Domi M. (2 min),
- 08:27, Gilbert D. (2 min),
- 09:00, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
- 14:12, Maccelli M. (2 min),
- 14:58, 1 - 0, Stutzle T. (G), Chabot T. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 06:07, Stutzle T. (2 min),
- 09:09, 2 - 0, Giroux C. (G), Kleven T. (A), Spence J. (A2)
- 09:43, Quillan J. (2 min),
- 17:53, 3 - 0, Foegele W. (G),
- 18:14, 3 - 1, Tavares J. (G), Cowan E. (A), Carlo B. (A2)
- 19:37, Amadio M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:52, 3 - 2, Cowan E. (G), Benoit S. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
- 09:41, 4 - 2, Amadio M. (G), Spence J. (A), Pinto S. (A2)
- 13:11, 5 - 2, Greig R. (G), Cozens D. (A), Kleven T. (A2)
- 16:07, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ottawa Senators
60.8% | Draw
19.7% | Toronto Maple Leafs
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.7) |
4.75 ↑
(4.58) |
4.74 ↑
(4.23) |
6.3%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ottawa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ottawa: Jensen N.
(Knee Injury)
Sanderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 71:58. (average 3.6:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 2.9:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ottawa Senators won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Ottawa Senators has won 16 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Ottawa Senators?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 12 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
28.02.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
2:5
27.12.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
7:5
23.09.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
2:3
21.09.2025
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:4
01.05.2025
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:4
Latest results of Ottawa Senators
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 76 | 44 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 287:196 | 110 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 77 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 258:211 | 102 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild ✔ | 77 | 29 | 15 | 12 | 21 | 256:223 | 100 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers | 77 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 265:257 | 87 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 77 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 31 | 257:271 | 87 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 76 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 248:218 | 86 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 77 | 27 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 247:240 | 86 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Kings | 77 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 26 | 211:236 | 83 |
| 9 | Nashville Predators | 77 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 233:256 | 82 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 76 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 234:269 | 81 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 77 | 27 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 221:234 | 80 |
| 12 | St. Louis Blues | 76 | 29 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 205:238 | 78 |
| 13 | Seattle Kraken | 76 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 212:243 | 75 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 76 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 199:243 | 72 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 78 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 202:256 | 70 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 76 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 201:295 | 52 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes ✔ | 77 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 22 | 275:228 | 104 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ | 77 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 279:215 | 102 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres ✔ | 78 | 39 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 270:233 | 102 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens ✔ | 77 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 269:242 | 100 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 78 | 33 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 280:250 | 96 |
| 6 | Boston Bruins | 78 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 259:240 | 95 |
| 7 | Ottawa Senators | 77 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 258:238 | 90 |
| 8 | Philadelphia Flyers | 77 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 26 | 228:231 | 90 |
| 9 | New York Islanders | 78 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 31 | 226:229 | 89 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 77 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 225:234 | 88 |
| 11 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 77 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 27 | 241:238 | 88 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 78 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 248:240 | 87 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 77 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 34 | 218:234 | 83 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 77 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 242:275 | 78 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 77 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 230:262 | 77 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 78 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 229:238 | 75 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
