Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Rodeia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Teixeira G. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
- 46', Ventura B. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
- 66', Feliz ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
- 66', Lopes L. ↓, Roka ↑,
- 71', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
- 76', Rodeia M. ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
- 77', Diarra M. 🟨,
- 81', 0 - 1, Diarra M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Diagne O. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 82', Nuninho ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
- 83', Oliveira J. 🟨,
- 87', Saldanha F. 🟨,
- 90', Diarra M. ↓, Welisson ↑,
Chances of winning
União de Santarém
36.4% | Draw
30% | Trofense
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Santarém, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
União de Santarém - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.27) |
3.06 ↑
(2.9) |
2.74 ↓
(3.19) |
8.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 8).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santarém won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Trofense?
União de Santarém has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against União de Santarém?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Trofense were as follows:
14.02.2026
Trofense
-
União de Santarém
1:2
Latest results of União de Santarém
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Trofense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
