Trofense vs União de Santarém – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
76
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
77
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
65
Corner kicks
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Ventura B. , Aguas G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Reko Silva 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Diarra M. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Goncalves E. F. ,
  • 62', Reko Silva , Oliveira J. ,
  • 62', Roka , Ruca ,
  • 63', Diarra M. , Hachadi K. ,
  • 63', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
  • 67', Cunha G. 🟨,
  • 69', Goncalves E. F. , Eberth ,
  • 73', Vinhas D. 🟨,
  • 78', Ventura B. , Ayiah E. ,
  • 81', Joel , Ivandro ,
  • 87', Teixeira R. 🟨,
  • 88', Grilo M. , Bura ,
  • 89', Teixeira R. , Monteiro D. ,
  • 90+1', Nuninho , Duarte E. ,
  • 90+8', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Pereira P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Trofense
47.6%
Draw
30.8%
União de Santarém
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 30.8% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 32.7% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Trofense - União de Santarém Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.89)
    2.97
    (2.96)
    4.24
    (4.38)
    9.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Trofense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santarém is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Santarém may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Trofense is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Trofense
    07.02.2026 Belenenses - Trofense 0:0
    25.01.2026 Amarante - Trofense 1:1
    18.01.2026 Trofense - Marco 09 0:1
    10.01.2026 Sanjoanense - Trofense 2:4
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica650111:5615
    2Amarante65019:5415
    3Os Belenenses742115:9614
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B731310:8210
    5Varzim73047:9-29
    6Santarem72057:11-46
    7Trofense71245:9-45
    8Mafra71155:13-84

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )