Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Gunjo J. ⚽, Filipe L. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Joaozinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Joel ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
- 55', Ivandro ↓, Nuninho ↑,
- 59', Gunjo J. 🟨,
- 61', Cunha G. 🟨,
- 62', Joaozinho ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 65', Boloto 🟨,
- 74', Franca F. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
- 74', Filipe L. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
- 74', Gunjo J. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
- 76', Ruca ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
- 82', Oliveira J. ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
- 82', Cunha G. ↓, Roka ↑,
- 85', Chamito ↓, Ze Manuel ↑,
Chances of winning
Varzim
43.5% | Draw
29.2% | Trofense
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Varzim - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.14) |
3.14 ↑
(2.99) |
3.34 ↓
(3.39) |
9.4%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 1.
- Varzim is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trofense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Varzim could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Trofense?
Varzim has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Varzim?
Trofense has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Trofense were as follows:
20.12.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
0:1
11.10.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
2:1
30.08.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
5:1
18.01.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
2:1
06.10.2024
Trofense
-
Varzim
3:2
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
