Varzim vs Trofense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Varzim - Trofense
Result
2:1
18/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
611
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
310
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
01
Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Semeu ,
  • 33', Henriques L. 🟨,
  • 44', Lapas Montenegro L. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Moshood M. , Freitas R. ,
  • 54', Oliveira R. 🟨,
  • 60', Assis Cardoso R. H. , Diagne O. ,
  • 60', Duarte D. , Carlos Daniel ,
  • 61', Lapas Montenegro L. M. , Gomes A. ,
  • 61', Pimenta G. , Pereira N. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Henriques L. ,
  • 71', Valente N. , Barbosa N. ,
  • 71', Ivandro , Paciencia V. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 79', Joel , Tiago Andre ,
  • 86', Ayiah E. 🟨,
  • 90', Araujo C. , Graca H. ,
  • 90', Silva Nhaga I. , Ribeiro R. M. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Ribeiro R. M. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Silva N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Varzim
37.9%
Draw
30.8%
Trofense
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 30.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 29.2% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varzim - Trofense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.19)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    2.94
    (3.38)
    9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Varzim - Trofense?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Varzim: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Varzim in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Trofense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Trofense were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Trofense - Varzim 3:2
    16.12.2023 Varzim - Trofense 1:2
    03.09.2023 Trofense - Varzim 0:0
    Latest results of Varzim
    12.01.2025 Sanjoanense - Varzim 1:2
    04.01.2025 Varzim - Vilaverdense 3:2
    15.12.2024 Amarante - Varzim 0:1
    07.12.2024 Varzim - Braga B 1:0
    30.11.2024 Lusitânia - Varzim 0:0
    Latest results of Trofense
    12.01.2025 Trofense - Anadia 3:0
    14.12.2024 Trofense - Fafe 3:2
    07.12.2024 Trofense - Sanjoanense 3:2
    30.11.2024 Vilaverdense - Trofense 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2