Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        11/10/2025 at  11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 3 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Portugal | Canal 11 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Freitas R. ⚽, 
- 4', Diagne O. 🟨, 
- 14', Franca F. 🟨, 
- 21', Cunha G. 🟨, 
- 26',  🟨, 
- 37', Welisson ↓, Rocha T. ↑, 
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Diarra M. (Pen), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Diagne O. ↓, Borges F. ↑, 
- 46', Duarte E. ↓, Joel ↑, 
- 50',  🟨, 
- 51', Franca F. ↓, Graca H. ↑, 
- 51', Freitas R. ↓, Ze Manuel ↑, 
- 53', 2 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, Reko Silva (A), 
- 54',  🟨, 
- 56',  🟨, 
- 59', Benchi D. ↓, Sequeira D. ↑, 
- 60', Chicao ↓, Derick ↑, 
- 70', Ivandro ↓, Paciencia V. ↑, 
- 72', Ayiah E. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑, 
- 77', Saldanha F. 🟨, 
- 87', Rocha T. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑, 
- 90+1',  🟨, 
- 90+3',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Trofense 40.2%
 | Draw 30.4%
 | Varzim 29.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Trofense - Varzim Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.41 ↑ (2.33)
 | 3.18 ↑ (3.01)
 | 3.28 ↑ (3.24)
 | 3.5% (7.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3.
- Recent performances by Trofense have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Varzim's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Trofense has had a series of home games.
- Trofense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Varzim?
                    
                    
                        
                            Trofense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Trofense?
                    
                    
                        
                             Varzim has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Varzim were as follows:
                                                        
                                30.08.2025 
                                Trofense 
                                - 
                                Varzim 
                                5:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.01.2025 
                                Varzim 
                                - 
                                Trofense 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.10.2024 
                                Trofense 
                                - 
                                Varzim 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.12.2023 
                                Varzim 
                                - 
                                Trofense 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.09.2023 
                                Trofense 
                                - 
                                Varzim 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Trofense                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 | 
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 | 
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 | 
| 4 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 | 
| 5 | Varzim | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 | 
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 | 
| 7 | Amarante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | 
| 8 | Paredes | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 | 
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 | 
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 | 
Group B|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Caldas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 | 
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 | 
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 | 
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 13 | 
| 5 | Atletico CP | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 | 
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 | 
| 7 | Amora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | 
| 8 | Santarem | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 | 
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 | 
| 10 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )