Result
2:1
18/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Semeu ⚽,
- 33', Henriques L. 🟨,
- 44', Lapas Montenegro L. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Moshood M. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
- 54', Oliveira R. 🟨,
- 60', Assis Cardoso R. H. ↓, Diagne O. ↑,
- 60', Duarte D. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
- 61', Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 61', Pimenta G. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Henriques L. ⚽,
- 71', Valente N. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,
- 71', Ivandro ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 72', 🟨,
- 79', Joel ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
- 86', Ayiah E. 🟨,
- 90', Araujo C. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 90', Silva Nhaga I. ↓, Ribeiro R. M. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Ribeiro R. M. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+7', Silva N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varzim
37.9% | Draw
30.8% | Trofense
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Varzim - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.19) |
2.97 ↑
(2.97) |
2.94 ↓
(3.38) |
9%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varzim - Trofense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varzim: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Varzim in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Trofense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Trofense?
Varzim has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Varzim?
Trofense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Trofense were as follows:
06.10.2024
Trofense
-
Varzim
3:2
16.12.2023
Varzim
-
Trofense
1:2
03.09.2023
Trofense
-
Varzim
0:0
Latest results of Trofense
Draw
PromotionFinal| 1 | Pacos Ferreira | Os Belenenses | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
