Result
11/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Trofense
40% | Draw
30.7% | Varzim
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Trofense - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.33) |
2.99 ↓
(3.01) |
3.12 ↓
(3.24) |
9.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3.
- Trofense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Varzim is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Trofense has had a series of home games.
- Trofense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Varzim?
Trofense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Trofense?
Varzim has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Varzim were as follows:
30.08.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
5:1
18.01.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
2:1
06.10.2024
Trofense
-
Varzim
3:2
16.12.2023
Varzim
-
Trofense
1:2
03.09.2023
Trofense
-
Varzim
0:0
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Fafe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
