Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        01/08/2025 at  20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  USL Championship
- Referee: May C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Argentina | Disney+ | 
|  Brazil | Disney+ | 
|  Chile | Disney+ | 
|  Colombia | Disney+ | 
|  Mexico | Disney+ | 
|  Peru | Disney+ | 
|  Uruguay | Disney+ | 
|  Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ | 
|  Venezuela | Disney+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.69 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 21 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 64% (195/304) | 70% (209/298) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.69 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.08 | 2.18 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 21 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 27 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 16 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 64% (195/304) | 70% (209/298) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 30% (19/63) | 38% (23/61) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 54% (61/114) | 60% (51/85) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 38% (6/16) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.62 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 16 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 91% (10/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 53 | 58 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 16 | 39 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 12 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.08 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.92 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Bidois R. ⚽, Awuah K. (A), 
- 21', Damm O. 🟨, 
- 25', Diallo B. 🟨, 
- 41', Bidois R. 🟨, 
- 43', 1 - 1, Calheira T. ⚽, Damm O. (A), 
- 45+3', St.Clair H. 🟨, 
- 45+4', Pierre D. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑, 
- 67', 1 - 2, Leerman Y. ⚽, Turner C. (A), 
- 72', Diallo B. ↓, Lukic S. ↑, 
- 72', Dalou A. ↓, Batista L. ↑, 
- 72', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Amann T. ↑, 
- 76', St.Clair H. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑, 
- 79', Aboukoura A. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑, 
- 79', Santos P. ↓, Mines B. ↑, 
- 79', Damm O. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑, 
- 80', Batista L. 🟨, 
- 84', 2 - 2, Lukic S. ⚽, 
- 85', Tingey K. 🟨, 
- 86', Cissoko A. 🟨, 
- 90+3', Mines B. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑, 
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Colli G. ⚽, 
- 90+6', Colli G. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tulsa 49%
 | Draw 25.1%
 | Loudoun United 25.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tulsa - Loudoun United Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.89 ↑ (1.87)
 | 3.7 ↑ (3.59)
 | 3.57 ↓ (3.7)
 | 7.9% (8.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Tulsa - Loudoun United?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Loudoun United?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tulsa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Tulsa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Loudoun United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Loudoun United were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.06.2024 
                                Loudoun United 
                                - 
                                Tulsa 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.06.2023 
                                Loudoun United 
                                - 
                                Tulsa 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.03.2023 
                                Tulsa 
                                - 
                                Loudoun United 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.08.2022 
                                Tulsa 
                                - 
                                Loudoun United 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Loudoun United                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 | 
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 | 
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 | 
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 | 
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 | 
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 | 
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 | 
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 | 
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 | 
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 | 
Western Conference|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 | 
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 | 
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 | 
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 | 
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 | 
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 | 
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 | 
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 | 
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 | 
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 | 
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 | 
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 | 
      Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )