Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (271/365) | 57% (120/212) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (271/365) | 57% (120/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 24% (16/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (96/139) | 47% (46/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Cissoko A. 🟨,
- 18', Goodrum P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 59', Dalou A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 59', Webber J. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 68', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 68', Serrano R. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 72', Seagrist P. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
- 72', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,
- 76', Davila T. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 86', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Lancaster C. ⚽, Lambert K. (A),
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Elmedkhar K. ⚽,
- 90+6', Diallo B. ↓, Booth A. ↑,
- 90+8', Penaranda J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
55.1% | Draw
25.1% | Tulsa
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Louisville City - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.65) |
3.72 ↓
(3.8) |
4.73 ↓
(4.85) |
6.9%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tulsa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Tulsa?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Louisville City?
Tulsa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Tulsa were as follows:
14.09.2024
Tulsa
-
Louisville City
0:1
04.08.2023
Tulsa
-
Louisville City
0:3
24.05.2023
Louisville City
-
Tulsa
1:2
07.09.2022
Tulsa
-
Louisville City
2:2
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
