União da Serra vs Samora Correia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
78
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


União da Serra
56%
Draw
25.2%
Samora Correia
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 24.4% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 23.3% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Samora Correia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União da Serra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • União da Serra - Samora Correia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.49)
    3.59
    (3.7)
    4.8
    (6.03)
    10.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by União da Serra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samora Correia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, União da Serra is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of União da Serra
    Latest results of Samora Correia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

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