Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
União da Serra
56% | Draw
25.2% | Samora Correia
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Samora Correia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União da Serra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
União da Serra - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.49) |
3.59 ↓
(3.7) |
4.8 ↓
(6.03) |
10.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by União da Serra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samora Correia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, União da Serra is the obvious favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Samora Correia?
União da Serra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against União da Serra?
Samora Correia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União da Serra - Samora Correia were as follows:
Latest results of União da Serra
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
