União de Santarém vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 União de Santarém - Covilhã
Result
1:2
29/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
21
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Gustavo Franca ,
  • 45', Salgado L. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Paulinho , Filipe L. ,
  • 56', Apolinario R. 🟨,
  • 62', Paula G. , Fuller T. ,
  • 65', Vieira A. , Ventura B. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Duarte L. ,
  • 70', David Santos 🟨,
  • 72', Balau D. , Madeira T. ,
  • 72', Gustavo Franca , Breno ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Duarte L. ,
  • 77', Ramalho D. , Maio F. ,
  • 77', Salgado L. M. , Tiago Caveira ,
  • 82', Joao Ricardo , Juninho ,
  • 82', Apolinario R. , Fernandes R. ,
  • 84', Duarte L. , Rafa ,
  • 87', Alcobia R. 🟥,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Grilo M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Fuller T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


União de Santarém
45.1%
Draw
28.9%
Covilhã
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 29.2% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 27.8% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • União de Santarém - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.95)
    3.18
    (3.13)
    3.53
    (3.82)
    9%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Santarém is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Covilhã is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Santarém will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Santarém won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santarém won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Covilhã were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Covilhã - União de Santarém 0:1
    25.01.2025 Covilhã - União de Santarém 3:1
    26.10.2024 União de Santarém - Covilhã 0:1
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Latest results of Covilhã
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2