Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.44
Ball Possession
40.2%	59.8%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
85% (361/426)	90% (570/631)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.06	0.30
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	9
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
24	38
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
85% (361/426)	90% (570/631)
Passes in final third
80% (91/114)	85% (206/241)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	1.13
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
70% (14/20)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
44	49
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
0.30	1.06
Goals prevented
0.30	1.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
39', Ishihara H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Shibayama M. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
58', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
67', Matheus Savio ↓, Thiago ↑,
75', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
75', Gustafson S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
79', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
79', Matsuo Y. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
42.5%

Draw
27.1%

Cerezo Osaka
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	3.12 ↓ (3.61)	6% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 41% – 80.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Cerezo Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Cerezo Osaka has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

05.10.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 0:1

15.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

16.07.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0

04.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

18.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League