Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.44
Ball Possession
40.2%	59.8%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
85% (361/426)	90% (570/631)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.06	0.30
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	9
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
24	38
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
85% (361/426)	90% (570/631)
Passes in final third
80% (91/114)	85% (206/241)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	1.13
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
70% (14/20)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
44	49
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
0.30	1.06
Goals prevented
0.30	1.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
39', Ishihara H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Shibayama M. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
58', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
67', Matheus Savio ↓, Thiago ↑,
75', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
75', Gustafson S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
79', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
79', Matsuo Y. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
42.5%

Draw
27.1%

Cerezo Osaka
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	3.12 ↓ (3.61)	6% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 41% – 80.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Cerezo Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Cerezo Osaka has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

05.10.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 0:1

15.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

16.07.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0

04.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

18.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	32:24	8	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	24	8	8	8	21:23	-2	32
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League