Result
1:3
06/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/545) | 79% (333/421) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (447/545) | 79% (333/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 71% (124/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ⚽, Shiotani T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Suzuki A. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. ⚽, Higashi S. (A),
- 58', Onaga H. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
- 64', Ohara M. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 65', Kato M. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 74', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
- 74', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 74', Suzuki A. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Campbell N. (A),
- 85', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 90+2', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
Chances of winning
V-Varen Nagasaki
27% | Draw
26.5% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(3.44) |
3.54 ↑
(3.34) |
2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
5.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - V-Varen Nagasaki (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Hiroshima (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Hiroshima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
- Including home match between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
