V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
06/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.101.53
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
15
Passes
82% (447/545)79% (333/421)
Expected goals (xG)
1.101.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.722.85
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
913
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1013
Passes
82% (447/545)79% (333/421)
Long passes
36% (18/50)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
63% (64/102)71% (124/175)
Crosses
14% (1/7)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.92
Throw ins
1515
Fouls
1310
Tackles
50% (5/10)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5042
Clearances
2016
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.850.72
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Nakano S. , Shiotani T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Matsumoto T. , Diego Pituca ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Suzuki A. ,
  • 54', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. , Higashi S. (A),
  • 58', Onaga H. , Kasayanagi T. ,
  • 64', Ohara M. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 65', Kato M. , Germain R. ,
  • 74', Iwasaki Y. , Campbell N. ,
  • 74', Higashi S. , Arai N. ,
  • 74', Suzuki A. , Arslan T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Matheus Jesus , Campbell N. (A),
  • 85', Thiago , Yamasaki R. ,
  • 90+2', Kim Ju-Sung , Maeda N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


V-Varen Nagasaki
27%
Draw
26.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.3% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (3.44)
    3.54
    (3.34)
    2.04
    (2.13)
    5.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - V-Varen Nagasaki (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Hiroshima (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hiroshima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers430107:410
    2Machida4211010:89
    3Verdy4210110:78
    4Kawasaki Frontale4120110:77
    5Urawa Reds420117:57
    6FC Tokyo412016:57
    7Mito401217:104
    8Kashiwa Reysol410036:93
    9Yokohama F. Marinos410035:83
    10Chiba400222:72


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kyoto421107:49
    2Sanfrecce Hiroshima421018:58
    3Vissel Kobe421016:38
    4Gamba Osaka412106:48
    5V-Varen Nagasaki420025:66
    6Nagoya Grampus411114:56
    7Shimizu S-Pulse410214:65
    8Cerezo Osaka410123:44
    9Okayama401215:74
    10Avispa Fukuoka401033:72

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
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