Result
1:1
04/05/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/510) | 74% (244/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/510) | 74% (244/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (125/160) | 56% (59/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/35) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Regiardo L. 🟨,
- 15', Nunez W. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
- 42', Guch F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Guch F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 46', Coccaro M. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 52', Goitea N. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Monzon F. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
- 58', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Ramirez I. ⚽, Mazzantti W. (A),
- 70', Valdes D. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
- 71', Herrera L. 🟨,
- 79', Godoy D. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
- 84', Russo J. 🟨,
- 87', Mazzantti W. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 90+2', Quiros A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
57.8% | Draw
26.1% | Newells Old Boys
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.71) |
3.6 ↑
(3.26) |
5.72 ↑
(5.43) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Newells Old Boys (4.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Federation decision.
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Vélez is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 3.
- Vélez is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newells Old Boys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Vélez has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Vélez is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Vélez will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Newells Old Boys?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newells Old Boys won against Vélez Sársfield?
Newells Old Boys has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
21.05.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Newells Old Boys
1:0
03.02.2023
Newells Old Boys
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
03.09.2022
Vélez Sársfield
-
Newells Old Boys
0:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
